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Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday December 3rd

December 2nd 2022, 12:33pm, By: Blake Lalor

Rosehill Racing Tips

We are returning to Rosehill this Saturday for a monster 10-race meeting. An interesting point to note is many of the leading jockeys are overseas or interstate at the moment so it’s imperative to ensure the appropriate respect is given to the best jockeys remaining in Sydney as I suspect they’ll dominate the meeting to a large extent.

Check out Blake Lalor’s best racing tips below!

betr

 

Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, 3rd December

Race 1

(5) Whangaehu looks well placed here and a nice price in the current market. He performed well in a strong form race to close out last prep behind White Marlin and Derby winner Manzoice. Since returning the horse has placed on both occasions the first of which was behind Mission Phoenix who is a subsequent winner. In his most recent run, he was caught late by Tradition and had solid margins on the rest of the field. From a good draw here, I expect his good form to continue, and a win should not be far away.

(2) Secret Glamour deserves to be favourite after winning nicely in Melbourne last time. She’s a quality mare with some quality performances to her name including 2nd to Natural Mystic over 2000m at Flemington. She’ll get a nice run from 6 and will be hard to beat.

(4) Kazalark was 2nd in a G3 race last time behind Pierossa and ahead of Robusto. That’s strong form but the horse does have to take on older, more experienced competition this time which is the reason I’ve got him 3rd pick here.

(3) Rosovo has been building quite a consistent record over his 7 career runs. He takes on tougher opposition this time around but has arguably earned a go at it and sets up quite nicely in gate 1 with Reece Jones aboard to claim 1.5kg.

(5) Whangaehu Each-Way

$8/$2.50 (0.5 Units)

 

Race 2

(11) Danzadel is in extremely well here at a wonderful price. He’s drawn gate 1 after drawing gates 8, 13 and 10 in his last 3 runs. He’ll be able to hold a far more prominent position from this gate and if he works home as well as he has in his last 2 runs he can easily finish over the top of the leaders with a suck run on the rail.

(4) The Dramatist is still suspect over this trip in my eyes after not performing up at 1600m last time. That said, he’s got ability and showed it over 1200m 2 starts ago behind Pokerjack. From gate 5 with Reece Jones claiming 1.5kg on Saturday, if the horse isn’t able to perform I’ll be letting him go unless he drops back to the sprint trips.

(8) Smooth Esprit loves a dry track, has won his only start at this distance (which was at Rosehill) and knows Kerrin McEvoy well. The only queries for this runner are the wide gate and a few poor performances since winning 3 starts ago. I suspect he can bounce back here.

(11) Danzadel Each-Way

$17/$5 (0.5 Units)

 

Race 4

(7) Frumos ended last prep with an unlucky 7th over a similar trip before running a close 2nd to Hope In Your Heart who has gone on to win multiple group level races, run 4th in a Golden Eagle and then 2nd in The Gong! If that’s not form on fire I don’t know what is. Frumos has gate 1 and has trialled superbly leading up to her return. She’s better than this grade and will be winning.

(6) Thalassophile is a distant 2nd pick in this race but went ok 1st up where Ten Bells had a fitness edge on her. She’ll have the fitness edge on Frumos this time which may bring the margin closer than it would be otherwise, but I honestly can’t see her beating the favourite.

(1) Ruby Tuesday is a big price in this, goes well on dry ground, goes well 1st up, gets a slight claim and is drawn well. Lots of factors are in her favour so she may be able to sneak in at odds.

(2) Zou De Moon is another who goes well on dry ground and brings good form over from ascot after winning a C6 there. She’s also drawn well for Brenton Avdulla so could be one for exotics and minors.

(7) Frumos Win

$2.50 (2 Units)

 

Race 9

(10) I Am Me looks incredibly talented. She didn’t measure up to Listed quality at the end of last prep but that was on wet tracks, and she doesn’t need to be that good to win this race. Her win 1st up beating Coco Rox was phenomenal and her trial since was good. She’ll be hard to beat here as her price suggests.

(6) On The Lead has never missed top 2 when 3rd up in her career. Her 2 runs this prep have been good enough to me running 3rd behind Key Largo and 4th behind Athelric with Key Largo in 2nd. She gets a nice weight swing on Key Largo after those 2 matchups and can perform well at odds in this race.

(3) Key Largo has already been mentioned and deserves to be in the top selections for this race. He’s been performing well and should continue to do so. My only concern is whether he’ll have the ability to beat I Am Me and if On The Lead will have the fitness and weight swing to turn the tables on this horse this time around.

(10) I Am Me Win

$1.80 (2 Units)

The spectacle of horse racing never left Blake after seeing Santa Ana Lane’s jaw-dropping 2018 racing season which peaked in his timeless TJ Smith shellacking.

This passion drove Blake down the path of statistical and data analysis undertaking a Masters Degree at Macquarie University upon completion of a Bachelors Degree in Commerce.

A full-time Business Analyst, Blake spends his afternoons and evenings studying Hong Kong and Australian horse racing markets with his favourite racing moment coming after backing Verry Elleegant to win the 2021 Melbourne Cup.

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