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Brisbane vs Collingwood Predictions & Tips: AFL Round 6 2025

April 16th 2025, 7:17pm, By: Jake Smit

Brisbane vs Collingwood Betting Tips

It’s another huge weekend of footy in Round 6 with nine fixtures set to be played across five days. It all kicks off on Thursday night with what should be an epic contest between Brisbane and Collingwood at the Gabba. Both clubs are in great form and as always, we have you covered with a full preview, best bet, and SGM for the clash below!

Also, Before You Bet will be providing free previews and betting tips for EVERY game in the 2025 AFL season, so make sure to head over to out our AFL Tips regularly to keep up to date with all of our free content.

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Brisbane vs Collingwood

Location: Gabba

Date: Thursday, 17th April

Time: 7:30pm AEST

 

Odds: Brisbane ($1.53) vs Collingwood ($2.50)

Line: Brisbane -13.5

Points: 180.5

Odds and lines provided with thanks to Dabble. Note that odds and lines can fluctuate throughout the week, and are correct at the time of writing.

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Match Preview

Get ready for a blockbuster clash as the Brisbane Lions host the Collingwood Magpies in a game that promises momentum swings, dramatic comebacks, and a finals-like atmosphere.

Brisbane are flying at 5–0, but it's how they’ve done it that’s got people talking. Four of those five wins have come after trailing at halftime. They’ve overturned deficits of 13, 24, 26, and 33 points against Sydney, West Coast, Geelong, and the Bulldogs. The only time they led at every change was against Richmond. Last week was a perfect example—they trailed the Bulldogs by 39 early in the third quarter and still won by 21. That comeback equalled a VFL/AFL record of eight straight wins after halftime deficits, a mark that dates all the way back to 1910. Brisbane have been trailing by an average of 31 points in those four comeback wins this year, so they’re no strangers to digging themselves out of trouble.

The concern for the Lions is whether that style of footy is sustainable. Falling behind early every week puts serious pressure on the engine room, and they’ve had to rely on big momentum swings to get over the top. Still, when they get rolling, especially at home, they can look unstoppable. Their forward pressure lifts, they start moving the ball cleaner, and suddenly a five-goal margin can disappear in a matter of minutes. It’s that kind of footy that’s made them one of the most dangerous sides in the comp this season—even if they don’t always start well.

Collingwood come into this one with a 4–1 record, and they’ve had to grind out a few of those wins too. After a rough Opening Round where they were blown off the park by GWS, they’ve bounced back nicely. Two of their four wins have come from halftime deficits, and their ability to go on rapid scoring runs has been a big part of that. Whether it’s a two-goal burst to get back into the game or five in a row to slam the door shut, the Pies love riding waves of momentum. Their structure holds up well under pressure, and they’ve shown they can absorb a lot before hitting back hard.

This is shaping up to be a real see-sawing contest. Both teams have built their seasons on resilience and momentum, and neither has really controlled four quarters consistently. That makes this game tough to call in terms of a winner, but one thing seems clear—it’s probably not going to be one-sided. Brisbane and Collingwood both thrive when the heat is on, and this one could come right down to the final few minutes.

In the Wire to Wire market, the smart play looks like “Any Other Result.” With both clubs having a habit of giving up leads and mounting big comebacks, it’s hard to see either of them leading at every break. Expect swings, surges, and a finish that could go either way.

Also Backing: HT/FT – COLL/BRIS $6.50 (0.25 Units)

Wire to Wire – Any Other Result

$2.00 (1.75 Units)

 

Same Game Multi

Throughout the 2025 AFL season we’ll be putting together a fun same game multi for every match at BoomBet using their BetShare feature.

To follow our multi, just click on the BoomBet BetShare button below and our same game multi selections will be added straight into your bet slip on BoomBet. You can then enter how much you wish to wager, and with a single click, your bet has been placed!

Zac Bailey 2+ Goals – Has kicked a goal in all five games as well as 3+ goals on three occasions. Is just in some cracking form right how.

Dan McStay 2+ Goals – Hasn’t been hitting the scoreboard a great deal with 5 goals in 5 games, however he comes up against his old side and knows the ground well. Great value here.

Josh Daicos 25+ Disposals – Had a bit of a down week last weekend after coppiing a bit more opposition attention. That won’t be the case here and I expect him to get back to his accumulating best across halfback. 

SGM Odds: $6.00 at BoomBet

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Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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