The AFLW season continues this week with Round 7 where there are 11 games on the schedule. Action begins on Tuesday night once again and it’s the Saints vs Giants contest that will get things underway. We bring you our preview and best bet for that match plus all other Round 7 fixtures for free below!
AFLW Round 7 Betting Tips
St Kilda vs GWS
Tuesday 7:15pm AEDT, Kinetic Stadium
The Saints put up a terrific fight against one of the powerhouse clubs in the Crows last round where they went down by just four points on enemy soil. The bad news is that’s now three losses in a row since they started the season 3-0. However, finals footy is still very much a real possibility as they have some highly winnable games over the next couple of weeks.
The Giants had their finals chances all but dashed last outing when they were well beaten by a fellow struggling team in the Demons. They now sit third last on the ladder with just a solitary win to their name as we head into Round 7. In fact, the only win the Giants have secured this campaign was way back in Round 1 against the Bulldogs.
This is a massive game for the Saints and an absolute must-win. They sit precariously in 10th spot on the ladder but a win can see them rise to seventh. There was a lot to like about their performance against the Crows last weekend and with home ground also on their side here, I expect the Saints to come out firing.
St Kilda -11.5
$1.91 (2.5 Units)
Adelaide vs Melbourne
Wednesday 7:45pm AEDT, Norwood Oval
The Crows weren’t at their dominant best but still came away with the four points against the Saints last round. It was a necessary win to bounce back from their heartbreaking defeat against the Lions the week prior, which they lost right at the death. The Crows are currently on the outside of the top four looking in, so you can expect them to be hungry for success in Round 7.
The Demons have had a tough season but enjoyed a rare win against the Giants last weekend. It was just their second win of their campaign and snapped a four-game losing streak. However, it’ll be tough for the Demons to improve on their current win tally in 2024 with some very tough matches to come.
Traditionally you would expect a tight and tough clash between these two clubs, but that’s not expected to be the case this time around. The Crows are by far the better team in this matchup and I expect a big performance from them after a couple of down weeks. It’s not a high bet game for me, but I do like the Crows to cover the spread at home.
Adelaide -22.5
$1.90 (1 Unit)
Port Adelaide vs Collingwood
Thursday 7:45pm AEDT, Alberton Oval
The Power secured an important win against the Eagles last weekend to keep their finals hopes alive. They come into this fixture in 10th spot on the ladder with four games remaining and have a relatively soft fixture to come, with three of those games coming against the bottom three sides.
In contrast, the Magpies season has been done and dusted for some time now. They’ve won only one match and look destined to finish in the bottom four. Injuries have plagued the Pies throughout their campaign but that’s still no excuse for how poor they’ve been.
The Power are the deserving favourites and should be able to cover the 15.5 point line on current form. However, I also like taking the unders here as the Pies haven’t kicked more than four goals in any game this season, and the Power are also a relatively low scoring team.
Port Adelaide -15.5
$1.90 (1 Unit)
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon
Friday 7:15pm AEDT, Whitten Oval
After a couple of wins on the trot, the Bulldogs were brought back down to earth by the rampaging Kangaroos last weekend who belted them by 55 points. The Bulldogs could only muster four points for the game’s entirety, meaning they’ve now failed to kick a goal in a game twice this season.
Elsewhere, the Bombers pulled off a pair of gritty wins in a busy Round 6. They began with a three-point win at home against the Swans before taking down the Suns on the road by nine. That’s now three wins on the bounce for the Bombers who are also now close to full strength. Bonnie Toogood made her return from a knee injury last start, but failed to have much of an impact.
The Bombers are quite clearly the better team in this matchup it’s more or less a question of how much do they win this by? The current line at Ladbrokes is 19.5 and I think that’s a touch generous considering the Dogs have lost by 40+ points in four of their five losses this season. Yes, they have been better of late, but I still have the Bombers covering that spread in what’s a vitally important game for them and their season.
Essendon -19.5
$1.88 (1.5 Units)
Hawthorn vs West Coast
Saturday 1:05pm AEDT, Kinetic Stadium
Hawthorn are flying high in the AFLW with six wins from their seven games to date. They secured another important win over the Dockers last weekend to make it four in a row, and they now sit very pretty in third spot on the ladder with only four matches to come.
West Coast have also had a much-improved season where they’ve won four games, which is their best mark in their short existence. They were unable to get over the Power last weekend however, which saw them slip out of the top 8 for the time being.
Hawthorn are the superior outfit this season and are the deserving favourites on Saturday, however, the line has been set at around the four goal mark which I expect the Eagles to cover. The Hawks are coming off a busy period in their schedule and might not have the juice to put together a dominant four quarters in this one.
West Coast +24.5
$1.91 (1 Unit)
Richmond vs Geelong
Saturday 3:05pm AEDT, Swinburne Centre
The Tigers are absolutely rolling right now and look to be one of the dark horses in the competition. They enter Round 7 having won five of their last six games and their only loss during that span came against the ladder-leading Kangaroos by a couple of goals.
In contrast, it’s been a horror season for the Cats especially considering there was a lot of expectation heading into their campaign. They were just a kick away from a grand final berth in 2023, yet have managed only two wins so far this season.
The Cats are certainly capable of putting in a good showing due to the level of talent on their team, although it’s the Tigers who are very much the deserving favourites here. The Tigers should be coming away with a comfortable win on current form.
Richmond -10.5
$1.91 (1.5 Units)
Brisbane vs Gold Coast
Saturday 5:05pm AEDT, Brighton Homes Arena
The twilight fixture in Round 7 Saturday action is a QClash between the Lions and the Suns at Brighton Home Arena. On opposite ends of the ladder, it’ll be the Lions who enter this game as the enormous favourites, and the line is currently sitting at around the 6-goal mark.
There’s no value at all in the H2H market and the line seems about right considering the difference in quality and performance between these clubs, so I’ll be looking to the goalkicker markets for value here.
Courtney Hodder hasn’t had her best season in front of the big sticks but will get her opportunities in what will be a one-sided match on Saturday. At more than $2 for a goal and huge odds for multiples, I think she’s worth having something on in this one.
Also Backing: Hodder 2+ Goals $6.50 (0.5 Units)
Courtney Hodder 1+ Goal
$2.05 (1 Unit)
Fremantle vs Carlton
Saturday 7:15pm AEDT, Fremantle Oval
To conclude Super Saturday in the AFLW we have the Dockers hosting the Blues at Fremantle Oval in Perth. The Dockers have surprised us all with how great they’ve been this season despite a number of injuries to key players, while the Blues are toiling away in the bottom four after what’s been another wasted season.
The Dockers are the clear favourites on Saturday night and rightly so, however it’s the unders in the total points market which I fancy having something on here. The Blues have kicked only five goals from their last four matches combined and it’s hard to see them kicking a big score again here. The Dockers also lack the firepower up forward to put up a huge total to fill the void.
Under 73.5 Points
$1.89 (2 Units)
North Melbourne vs Sydney
Sunday 1:05pm AEDT, North Hobart Oval
We’re set for another highly one-sided game here with the league’s best side, the Kangaroos, hosting the Swans in Tassie. North have had an incredible season to date and have an outrageous percentage of 311%, while the Swans are toiling away in 14th spot with two wins to their name and a bunch of injuries to key players.
Again, with no value whatsoever in the H2H market and the line set at around seven goals, I’ll look to the North goalkicker markets for a play here, and Bet365 and Ladbrokes are genuinely offering the best odds in these markets. Kate Shierlaw is one who always gets on the end of a few in big wins, and she has bag of five to her name against the Demons earlier this year. She remains great value for 2+ in this one.
Kate Shierlaw 2+ Goals
$3.20 (1 Unit)
St Kilda vs Melbourne
Sunday 3:05pm AEDT, RSEA Park
It's a cracking contest in middle game on Sunday with two teams facing off that are in desperate need of a win. The Saints are currently in eighth spot on the ladder with four wins, while the Demons are couple of spots below with three to their name.
The Saints were big winners over the Giants in their opening game of Round 7, which was on Tuesday night, while the Demons caused one of the biggest upsets of the season on Wednesday when they held off the Crows on their home deck.
Fatigue is set to be a big factor in this clash as both clubs are coming to the end of very busy schedules. The Saints have an extra day's rest under their belt and have also had less travel considering the Dees were in Adelaide a couple of days ago. Regardless, I have been more impressed with the Saints this season and I fancy them at nearly even odds here. I expect them to be the hungrier club as they hunt their first finals berth.
St Kilda to Win
$1.82 (1.5 Units)
GWS vs Adelaide
Sunday 5:05pm AEDT, Henson Park
It’s been another disappointing season for the Giants who haven’t shown much improvement whatsoever. They began spritely with a thumping win over the Dogs but haven’t been able to taste success since and are now six games without a win.
Elsewhere, the Crows have been shaky in recent weeks and need to switch on ASAP if they’re to secure an all-important top four spot. They were upset by the Demons on Wednesday night to make it two losses from their last three games.
This is not a match I want to get heavily involved in as both clubs have been tough to get a read on at certain stages this season. Clearly, the Crows are the far superior outfit but they’ve been a bit sluggish in recent weeks and that’s a bit of a concern. Still, they have too much on the line to not come out with intent here. They should be winning this comfortably.
Adelaide -24.5
$1.91 (1 Unit)
