The busy part of the 2024 AFLW schedule is about to begin! Round 4 gets underway on Tuesday night with games on every day until Sunday. We had a tough run last round after a scorching hot opening fortnight, so hopefully we bounce straight back in Round 4. It’s certainly a hectic time in the W, but we’re here to bring you our best bets for each and every game.
Also, make sure to head over to our AFL Tips page regularly for our best bets for every AFLW round, as well as all AFL finals!
AFLW Round 4 Betting Tips
Collingwood vs West Coast
Tuesday 7:15pm AEST, IKON Park
The Magpies came out of the blocks with intent against the Lions and had the opening three shots on goal, but the reigning premiers quickly arrested momentum and went onto dominate the match from thereon. The Magpies are now 0-3 and a loss on Tuesday would almost certainly rule them out of finals. Making matters worse, star midfielder Brit Bonnici has been ruled out of their upcoming match with injury.
The Eagles responded from their disappointing Round 2 loss with an 11-point win over the Bulldogs. They’ve now already matched their best ever win tally for a season with two wins on the board. Ella Roberts was the standout player again for the Eagles last weekend and dominated whether she played up forward or through the middle. A big game from her will be key once again on Tuesday.
It's a tight betting match with both teams around even money in the H2H market. However, the Bonnici out does have me leaning slightly more towards the Eagles. Regardless, I think the best bet here is to take the unders in the total points market, as both teams lack scoring power, and their best lines are arguably their defence.
Under 76.5 Points
$1.89 (2 Units)
Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs
Wednesday 7:15pm AEST, Brighton Homes Arena
This matchup has the potential to be the most one-sided of the 2024 season. The Lions are the reigning premiers and have been super impressive over the past fortnight, whereas the Bulldogs have kicked just four goals for the season after three matches.
Tipping the scales even further is the injury to Bulldogs captain and best player, Ellie Blackburn. She’s been ruled out for the season with a foot injury which is just horrible news for the club. Another key cog in Elisabeth Georgostathis will also sit out on Wednesday night, which will hurt their rebound out of D50.
In contrast, the Lions are super healthy and are playing great footy, and that’s exactly why they’re the $1.01 favourites. They’ll simply obliterate this Dogs outfit. The line is also a whopping 54.5 and while they certainly have the capacity to blow past that, it’s still a big line to back.
I think this is more of a match to try and find some value in the Lions goalkickers, and Courtney Hodder’s price at Bet365 is very juicy. She’ll get her chances in front of the big sticks and is worth a crack at 1+, 2+, and even 3+.
Also Backing: Hodder 2+ $4.75 (0.5 Units), Hodder 3+ $17 (0.2 Units)
Hodder Anytime Goalkicker
$1.80 (1.5 Units)
Richmond vs Carlton
Thursday 7:15pm AEST, IKON Park
The Tigers enter Round 4 on a two-match win streak and should really be 3-0 this season had they not given away a last-minute goal in Round 1. They pummelled the Swans on enemy territory last weekend and are building their form very nicely. Importantly, the Tigers are now almost fully healthy after Eilish Sheerin made her return last weekend.
The Blues were impressive in tough conditions against the Cats last weekend, as they were able to control territory and lock the half in their front half. They kept the dangerous Cats to just five points in what was easily the Blues’ best game of the season to date. Maddy Guerin has put together a couple of fantastic performances over the past fortnight after overcoming some serious injuries in recent years.
I still feel as though the Tigers are the better outfit in this matchup despite how impressive the Blues were last weekend. With Sheerin now predominantly playing as a midfielder, the Tigers are extremely damaging in that part of the ground. I expect the Tigers to have the ascendancy in the middle of the park and to get the better of the chances up forward, it’s just a matter of how well they can convert. I like them to cover the one-goal spread on Thursday night.
Richmond -5.5
$1.87 (2 Units)
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide
Friday 5:05pm AEST, Mission Whitten Oval
Preview and best bet coming soon.
Gold Coast vs Geelong
Saturday 12:05pm AEST, People First Stadium
Preview and best bet coming soon.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn
Saturday 2:05pm AEST, RSEA Park
Preview and best bet coming soon.
Fremantle vs Melbourne
Saturday 2:05pm AEST, Fremantle Oval
Preview and best bet coming soon.
Adelaide vs Essendon
Sunday 1:05pm AEST, Thomas Farms Oval
Preview and best bet coming soon.
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs
Sunday 3:05pm AEST, Victoria Park
Preview and best bet coming soon.
Sydney vs GWS
Sunday 3:05pm AEST, Henson Park
Preview and best bet coming soon.
West Coast vs Brisbane
Sunday 5:05pm AEST, Mineral Resources Park
Preview and best bet coming soon.