Plenty of upsets in Round 5 action as it was a bit of a quiet round for many of our Brownlow contenders. With Sydney having the bye, Isaac Heeney didn't have a chance to add to his Brownlow tally which means that Connor Rozee might've joined him at the top with another great performance for the Power. He's into $15 on Betfair if you want to add him to your green book!
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2024 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page (coming soon).
2024 AFL Brownlow Round 5 Overview
Port Adelaide's Connor Rozee might be amongst the 2024 Brownlow leaders after Round 5 after another excellent performance as the Power snuck home against Freo. Zach Merrett, Max Gawn, Noah Anderson and Jeremy Cameron are other potential contenders who might be polling votes in Round 5. Carlton's Sam Walsh also returned from injury and is likely to be straight into the Brownlow voting.
Check out our 2024 Round 5 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2024 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2024 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 5 Match Analysis
Melbourne 8.12.60 def by Brisbane 12.10.82
The Lions were too strong for the Dees at the MCG, with the scoreline flattering Melbourne after they fought it out but it was far too late. Cam Rayner (25 disposals, 9 clearances) was at his best as Brisbane controlled the clearances. Josh Dunkley (30 disposals, 9 marks), Hugh McLuggage (23 disposals, 2 goals), Jarrod Berry (23 disposals, 10 marks, 8 tackles) and Dayne Zorko (29 disposals, 6 marks) were among their best. Max Gawn played a lone hand for the Dees with 23 disposals, 51 hitouts, 8 clearances and a goal.
Cam Rayner - 3
Josh Dunkley - 1.5
Max Gawn - 1.5
Western Bulldogs 9.13.67 def by Essendon 15.6.96
The Bulldogs didn’t give much of a yelp in the second half as the Bombers landed a big win. Zach Merrett (27 disposals, 6 marks), Xavier Duursma (20 disposals, 13 marks, 2 goals), Sam Durham (21 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) and Jye Caldwell (23 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) were best for the Dons. Adam Treloar (28 disposals, 8 tackles), Jack Macrae (25 disposals) and Tom Liberatore (25 disposals, 10 clearances) stood tall as many Dogs were down on their usual output.
Zach Merrett - 3
Xavier Duursma - 1.5
Sam Durham - 1.5
GWS 11.14.80 def St Kilda 12.7.79
The Giants continue to motor along in season 2024 as they fell over the line against the Saints who stormed home late to nearly pinch it. With their midfield well down, it was Lachie Whitfield who won the most ball with 34 disposals and 9 marks. Lachie Ash (26 disposals, 9 marks) and Toby Greene (16 disposals, 7 marks, 5 tackles, 2 goals) were next best. The best players on the ground were arguably with the Saints with Brad Hill (33 disposals, 13 marks), Rowan Marshall (28 disposals, 25 hitouts, 7 marks) and Jack Steele (29 disposals, 6 tackles) all immense in the loss.
Lachie Whitfield - 2.5
Brad Hill - 2.5
Rowan Marshall - 1
Carlton 14.14.98 def by Adelaide 16.4.100
It was Adelaide’s first win and Carlton’s first loss of the season in a thriller at Marvel Stadium. Izak Rankine (23 disposals, 6 marks, 3 goals) was electric, while Taylor Walker (14 disposals, 10 marks, 4 goals) and Ben Keays (20 disposals, 10 marks, 3 goals) also hit the scoreboard. Jakes Soligo led a re-jigged midfield with 27 disposals. Sam Walsh returned to the Blues and was incredible in his first game back with 34 disposals and 13 tackles.
Izak Rankine - 2.5
Sam Walsh - 2.5
Taylor Walker - 1
Gold Coast 16.13.109 def Hawthorn 8.8.56
A rather insipid performance from the Hawks saw the Suns cruise to an easy victory. The young guns for the Suns might be the real deal as they provided excellent support to Noah Anderson (36 disposals, 8 marks, 8 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal), Touk Miller (28 disposals, 8 marks), Matt Rowell (22 disposals, 8 tackles) and Sam Flanders (34 disposals, 9 marks). Ben King provided a good target up forward with 4 goals from 10 disposals.
Noah Anderson - 3
Matt Rowell - 1
Ben King - 1
Sam Flanders - 1
Port Adelaide 9.12.66 def Fremantle 9.9.63
The Power were too tough in a low-scoring slugfest against the Dockers with Connor Rozee leading from the front with 26 disposals and 6 tackles. Zak Butters (24 disposals, 9 tackles, 1 goal), Dan Houston (27 disposals, 6 marks) and Kane Farrell (26 disposals, 6 marks) were among the best for the Power. Caleb Serong (29 disposals, 8 clearances), Hayden Young (27 disposals, 6 tackles) and Luke Ryan (24 disposals, 11 marks) played well for Freo.
Connor Rozee - 3
Caleb Serong - 1.5
Dan Houston - 1.5
Geelong 21.13.139 def North Melbourne 10.4.64
The Cats’ perfect start to the season continued as they tumped a helpless North Melbourne. Jeremy Cameron was dominant with 6 goals from 21 disposals and 8 marks to be best afield. Max Holmes (25 disposals, 2 goals), Gryan Miers (23 disposals) and Brad Close (4 goals, 13 disposals) were among the best for the Cats. Harry Sheezel (38 disposals, 15 marks, 1 goal) stood tall for the Roos.
Jeremy Cameron - 3
Max Holmes - 2
Harry Sheezel - 1
West Coast 16.13.109 def Richmond 10.10.70
West Coast got on the board as the injury-plagued Tigers are in a world of hurt for season 2024. #1 draft pick Harley Reid (27 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal) provided the much-needed spark, as Tim Kelly (29 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances), Elliot Yeo (27 disposals, 15 clearances, 2 goals) and Jake Waterman (6 goals, 18 disposals, 13 marks) all lifted around him. Shai Bolton (21 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) and Liam Baker (25 disposals, 1 goal) tried their best for the Tigers.
Elliot Yeo - 2.5
Jake Waterman - 2.5
Harley Reid - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
