The AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth 2023 Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have 2023 Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.
2023 AFL Brownlow Round 18 Overview
Another round and another superb game from young superstar Nick Daicos. It may not be the three but he should be in the Brownlow votes once again for Round 18 which should give him a massive lead in the Brownlow Medal count at this point. It was a season that loomed as being one of the most exciting Brownlow counts, but now, it looks almost certain that Daicos will be taking home his first Brownlow medal.
Christian Petracca and Marcus Bontempelli both had excellent games and look most likely to challenge, but we have Petracca seven votes behind at this point, so it seems unlikely that they will get close unless disaster strikes Daicos somehow.
Lucky there's many ways we can bet on the Brownlow beside the winner's market!
Check out our Round 18 Brownlow votes below!
2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 18 Match Analysis
Sydney 11.12.78 def Western Bulldogs 11.10.76
A cracking game to kick off Round 18 as the Swans found a way to cling onto victory against the Dogs to keep their slim finals hopes alive. The stars of the competition were brilliant in this one, with Errol Gulden (30 disposals, 7 tackles) once again sensational for the Swans. However it looked like Marcus Bontempelli was going to carry the Dogs home on his shoulders but it wasn’t to be as he racked up 31 disposals, 6 marks, 8 tackles, 6 clearances and 2 goals to challenge for best afield. Tim English (22 disposals, 60 hitouts, 10 clearances), Tom Liberatore (30 disposals, 7 tackles, 11 clearances, 1 goal), Ed Richards (28 disposals, 11 marks) and Oli Florent (23 disposals, 2 goals) were all excellent.
Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Errol Gulden - 2
Tim English - 1
Melbourne 16.9.105 def Brisbane 16.8.104
What a game! The Dees came back from the brink to kick the last four goals of the game to pinch a thrilling victory. Much of the talk during the week was about the omission of Brodie Grundy, but big Max Gawn stood tall to carry the load with a massive 29 disposals, 5 marks, 7 tackles, 38 hitouts, 10 clearances and a goal in a mighty effort as sole ruck. The other Melbourne leaders also stood up with Christian Petracca (26 disposals, 7 clearances, 4 goals) and Jack Viney (25 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal) both enormous. Joe Daniher (24 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) and Hugh McLuggage (22 disposals, 10 marks) were best for the Lions.
Max Gawn - 3
Christian Petracca - 2
Joe Daniher - 1
Collingwood 18.5.113 def Fremantle 10.7.67
The Pies were at their best as they easily accounted for Freo. Nick Daicos will again be in the votes for his 36 disposals, 7 clearances and 1 goal, with Josh Daicos (31 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal), Taylor Adams (23 disposals, 9 tackles, 7 clearances, 2 goals) and Darcy Moore (19 disposals, 8 marks) also among their best. Jamie Elliot was also good with 4 goals from his 10 disposals. Neil Erasmus (26 disposals, 10 tackles) and Jaegar O’Meara (30 disposals, 6 tackles, 10 clearances, 1 goal) were solid for the Dockers.
Nick Daicos - 2.5
Taylor Adams - 2.5
Josh Daicos - 0.5
Darcy Moore - 0.5
Gold Coast 11.11.77 def St Kilda 8.3.51
The Suns bounced back after the sacking of Stuart Dew to record a good win over the Saints. Sam Flanders (33 disposals, 7 marks), Rory Atkins (32 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals), Wil Powell (26 disposals, 10 marks, 6 tackles) and Noah Anderson (25 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal) won plenty of ball with Jack Lukosius (10 disposals, 6 marks, 4 goals) finishing off their work up forward. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (28 disposals, 7 marks) and Marcus Windhager (27 disposals) tried hard for the Saints.
Sam Flanders - 3
Rory Atkins - 1.5
Noah Anderson - 1.5
Carlton 18.14.122 def Port Adelaide 10.12.72
Carlton landed their best victory of the season as they are back in the hunt for finals action! The load was well shared with Patrick Cripps (24 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances, 1 goal), Nic Newman (23 disposals, 9 tackles, 1 goal), Jack Silvagni (19 disposals, 10 hitouts, 4 goals), Charlie Curnow (15 disposals, 11 marks, 3 goals) and Jesse Motlop (10 disposals, 4 goals) all having an influence on the match. Dan Houston should be picking up votes for his 41 disposals and 6 tackles in the losing effort, while Connor Rozee collected 28 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances and 2 goals.
Jack Silvagni - 3
Dan Houston - 2
Connor Rozee - 0.5
Patrick Cripps - 0.5
Geelong 18.14.122 def Essendon 7.3.45
It was supposed to be a blockbuster match for the Dons but they failed to turn up as the Cats kicked the first seven goals of the game and never looked back. Tom Atkins (28 disposals, 12 tackles, 9 clearances) was superb in the middle while Max Holmes (33 disposals, 8 marks) picked up plenty of touches unattended on the wing. Gryan Miers (26 disposals, 1 goal) was dynamic across half-forward and big Tom Hawkins (16 disposals, 8 marks, 5 goals) finished off their hard work. A clear top four in this one.
Tom Atkins - 3
Max Holmes - 1
Gryan Miers - 1
Tom Hawkins - 1
Adelaide 8.9.57 def by GWS 10.11.71
The Giants continue to surprise as they make a late surge for finals with another big away win with the last five goals of the match. Josh Kelly (28 disposals, 6 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal) bounced back from a poor showing last week to be one of the Giants’ best with Lachie Whitfield (28 disposals, 6 marks), Toby Greene (20 disposals, 3 goals), Stephen Coniglio (23 disposals, 9 tackles) and Sam Taylor (21 disposals, 6 marks) all valuable contributors. Rory Laird (33 disposals, 11 tackles, 1 goal), Jordan Dawson (27 disposals, 7 tackles) and Brodie Smith (27 disposals) were best for the Crows.
Josh Kelly - 2.5
Lachie Whitfield - 2.5
Toby Greene - 1
North Melbourne 6.4.40 def by Hawthorn 12.16.88
It was as uninspiring as the 16th vs 17th headline promised as the Hawks overcame an inaccurate start to defeat the Roos who were probably flattered by the 48-point loss. James Worpel (32 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances, 1 goal) was back to his best with Karl Amon (33 disposals, 1 goal), Will Day (28 disposals, 7 tackles) and Jai Newcombe (33 disposals, 7 clearances) all cashing in. Luke Davies-Uniacke (26 disposals, 10 marks, 9 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal) stood tall for the Roos, while Bailey Scott (34 disposals, 8 marks) continued his fine season.
James Worpel - 3
Jai Newcombe - 1.5
Karl Amon - 1.5
West Coast 8.12.60 def by Richmond 14.14.98
Another game that failed to reach any great highs, but the Tigers did enough to get the points in Perth. Daniel Rioli (31 disposals) provided outstanding dash from half-back, while Shai Bolton (23 disposals, 2 goals), Tim Taranto (27 disposals, 8 tackles, 8 clearances, 1 goal), Dustin Martin (23 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) and Jacob Hopper (25 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances) were all very good. Noah Balta (17 disposals, 6 marks) did a great job on Oscar Allen, while Tim Kelly (27 disposals, 6 clearances) was best for the Eagles.
Daniel Rioli - 3
Tim Taranto - 1
Shai Bolton - 1
Dustin Martin - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
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