The AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth 2023 Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have 2023 Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.
2023 AFL Brownlow Round 17 Overview
Nick Daicos is now an odds-on favourite in the Brownlow betting markets on Betfair to win the 2023 Brownlow Medal after yet another best-on-ground performance for Collingwood. This is three weeks in a row in which we have Daicos polling top votes which now puts him well clear on our Brownlow leaderboard. It's likely to have been an exciting count early in the night, but surely Daicos is home from here?
Lachie Neale and Christian Petracca are again likely to be in the votes in Round 17 but may not poll the threes they need to stay in contention. Others on the move in Round 17 include Connor Rozee, Zach Merrett and Adam Cerra.
Check out our Round 17 Brownlow votes below!
2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 17 Match Analysis
Richmond 12.16.88 def Sydney 11.9.75
Richmond are still dreaming of September action after defeating the Swans in wet conditions to kick off Round 17. Shai Bolton was a class above with 31 disposals and 9 clearances, with Dustin Martin (29 disposals, 1 goal), Tim Taranto (29 disposals, 9 clearances) and Jack Ross (20 disposals, 2 goals) all prominent, while Toby Nankervis (19 disposals, 33 hitouts, 1 goal) was influential despite a certain suspension over a head-high blow to Jake Lloyd. Errol Gulden was once again the stand out for the Swans with 31 disposals, 6 tackles and a goal.
Shai Bolton - 3
Dustin Martin - 2
Errol Gulden - 0.5
Toby Nankervis - 0.5
Western Bulldogs 11.11.77 def by Collingwood 13.11.89
The Dogs played well but it still wasn’t enough to get the points against the Pies on Friday night. Nick Daicos now has at least one hand on the Brownlow Medal after another stunning game with 29 disposals, 6 tackles, 11 clearances and 2 goals. Isaac Quaynor (27 disposals, 13 marks) and John Noble (28 disposals, 9 marks) patrolled half-back, while Jamie Elliott kicked 4 goals from 9 disposals and 7 marks up forward. Caleb Daniel (32 disposals, 6 tackles) was busy, while Cody Weightman (4 goals, 17 disposals) and Aaron Naughton (4 goals, 12 disposals) hit the scoreboard. Marcus Bontempelli (29 disposals, 8 tackles, 6 clearances) was also good but might not have done enough for votes.
Nick Daicos - 3
Isaac Quaynor - 2
Caleb Daniel - 1
Brisbane 16.20.116 def West Coast 5.5.35
Jack Gunston kicked a bag of 6 goals in his return, along with 20 disposals and 8 marks, to be best afield in the Lions big win over the hapless Eagles. Lachie Neale (32 disposals, 7 marks, 8 clearances), Will Ashcroft (28 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances), Hugh McLuggage (20 disposals, 8 marks, 6 tackles, 2 goals), Jarryd Lyons (29 disposals, 6 tackles) and Harris Andrews (19 disposals, 13 marks) all performed strongly. Liam Duggan (33 disposals, 9 marks) accumulated plenty of ball on another sad day for the Eagles.
Jack Gunston - 3
Lachie Neale - 2
Will Ashcroft - 0.5
Harris Andrews - 0.5
GWS Giants 12.13.85 def Hawthorn 10.12.72
The Giants got away with the points despite several of their stars being shut down by the Hawks. Stephen Coniglio stepped up with 30 disposals, 8 marks, and 3 goals to be their best, while Kieran Briggs (17 disposals, 28 hitouts, 6 clearances), Sam Taylor (19 disposals, 8 marks) and Jesse Hogan (4 goals, 15 disposals) were influential around the ground. Jai Newcombe (28 disposals, 9 clearances) was best for the Hawks, while Blake Hardwick (25 disposals) kept Toby Green goalless and Finn Maginness (15 disposals) kept Josh Kelly to just 6 touches.
Stephen Coniglio - 3
Jai Newcombe - 1
Kieran Briggs - 1
Jesse Hogan - 1
St Kilda 8.10.58 def by Melbourne 12.7.79
The Saints copped several unfortunate injuries and the Dees took the points in an important win. Steven May was sublime at half-back with 29 disposals and 12 marks, while Christian Petracca (4 goals, 20 disposals) was swung forward with great success. Jack Sinclair (33 disposals, 6 marks), Jack Steele (31 disposals, 12 tackles, 1 goal) and Rowan Marshall (30 disposals, 10 marks, 15 hitouts, 8 clearances) were all very good for the Saints.
Christian Petracca - 2.5
Steven May - 2.5
Jack Steele - 0.5
Rowan Marshall - 0.5
Port Adelaide 16.10.106 def Gold Coast 11.7.73
The Power were far too strong for the Suns, and days later, it would cost coach Stuart Dew his job! Connor Rozee was best for Port with 28 disposals, 6 marks and 2 goals, with support from Ollie Wines (26 disposals, 6 clearances) in the middle. Jeremy Finlayson (14 disposals, 6 marks, 3 goals) and Aliir Aliir (12 disposals, 7 marks) also played their roles well. Noah Anderson (29 disposals, 6 tackles) was best for the Suns.
Connor Rozee - 3
Ollie Wines - 1
Noah Anderson - 1
Jeremy Finlayson - 1
Geelong 19.11.125 def North Melbourne 9.9.63
A big victory for the Cats saw plenty of great contributions from their players which might make Brownlow votes a little tricky. Mitch Duncan (30 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal), Tom Atkins (25 disposals, 14 tackles, 7 clearances), Gryan Miers (32 disposals, 11 marks) and Patrick Dangerfield (26 disposals, 8 tackles, 9 clearances) all won plenty of ball, while Tyson Stengle (5 goals, 15 disposals) and Oli Henry (4 goals, 14 disposals) hit the scoreboard. Luke Davies-Uniacke showed glimpses of being back towards his best with 28 disposals, 8 tackles and 2 goals.
Mitch Duncan - 2.5
Tyson Stengle - 2.5
Tom Atkins - 0.5
Patrick Dangerfield - 0.5
Essendon 17.13.115 def Adelaide 15.7.97
An important win for the Bombers in a battle of 7th vs 8th, with skipper Zach Merrett (39 disposals, 7 marks, 6 tackles, 1 goal) leading from the front. Darcy Parish (39 disposals, 8 clearances), Andrew McGrath (31 disposals, 6 marks) and Nic Martin (28 disposals, 9 marks, 2 goals) were also prolific. Peter Wright provided a target with 19 disposals, 8 marks and 3 goals. Reilly O’Brien (14 disposals, 40 hitouts, 6 clearances) won the ruck battle while Rory Laird (31 disposals, 9 tackles, 10 clearances) was busy for the Crows.
Zach Merrett - 3
Darcy Parish - 2
Nic Martin - 1
Fremantle 6.9.45 def by Carlton 14.14.98
The Blues are somehow still in the finals hunt with a great away win over Freo. Adam Cerra picked up 27 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances and a goal against his former side, with Sam Walsh (32 disposals), Patrick Cripps (29 disposals, 10 clearances) and Harry McKay (20 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) also among their best. Luke Ryan (35 disposals, 10 marks) racked up plenty of touches, while Andrew Brayshaw (32 disposals, 6 clearances) didn’t stop running.
Adam Cerra - 3
Patrick Cripps - 2
Sam Walsh - 0.5
Harry McKay - 0.5
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
