One again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.
Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 14 Vote Predictions below!
2018 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 14
West Coast 6.16.52 def by Essendon 12.8.80
The Eagles slumped to another loss as the Bombers jumped the gates and never looked back. Devon Smith continued his standout year with 23 disposals, 6 tackles and 3 goals. Zach Merrett (30 disposals) and Dyson Heppell (27 disposals, 11 marks) and Adam Saad (26 disposals) won plenty of the ball, while Cale Hooker was a rock in defence with 20 touches and 9 marks. It wasn’t a good night for the Eagles, but Andrew Gaff was their best with his 32-disposal effort.
Devon Smith - 3
Dyson Heppell - 1
Cale Hooker – 1
Adam Saad – 1
Port Adelaide 11.9.75 def Melbourne 9.11.65
The Power refused to die as they got over the line against Melbourne. Ollie Wines was again instrumental with 29 disposals including 18 contested and 8 clearances. Tom Jonas was fantastic at half-back with 20 disposals and 11 marks, while Sam Powell-Pepper broke the club tackling record with 17 tackles to go with 15 disposals. Jack Viney continues to get better as he picked up 31 disposals and 7 tackles to be Melbourne’s best.
Ollie Wines – 3
Tom Jonas – 2
Jack Viney - 1
Hawthorn 13.18.96 def Gold Coast 5.13.43
After an early struggle, the Hawks eventually kicked clear and featured the best players on the ground. Liam Shiels is likely to pick up best-on-ground for 33 disposals, 10 marks and a goal. Jaegar O’Meara was also very good with his 24 disposals, 10 tackles and a goal likely to see him feature in the votes. Tom Mitchell (31 disposals) was his usual self while Luke Breust was good with 21 touches, 8 marks and 2 goals.
Liam Shiels – 3
Jaegar O’Meara – 2
Tom Mitchell – 0.5
Luke Breust – 0.5
Brisbane 12.10.82 def by GWS 16.13.109
The midfield fleet of GWS were finally all back together again and they proved what a force they can be if they all stay on the park. Josh Kelly was the standout with 30 disposals, 8 marks, 5 tackles and 2 goals, but he was well supported by Lachie Whitfield, Dylan Shiel and Stephen Coniglio who all picked up 26 disposals apiece. For Brisbane, Luke Hodge played his best game as a Lion with 30 disposals, 11 marks and a goal.
Josh Kelly – 3
Luke Hodge – 2
Lachie Whitfield – 0.5
Stephen Coniglio – 0.5
Western Bulldogs 11.9.75 def by North Melbourne 12.5.77
The Roos got out of jail against the Dogs with a miraculous goal in the dying seconds. Shaun Higgins is firming as a Brownlow medal contender with another best-on-ground performance with 32 disposals and 2 goals, including a double effort in that match-winning goal. He was supported in the middle by Ben Cunnington (30 disposals), while big Ben Brown finished the job with 5 goals from his 11 disposals and 6 marks. For the Dogs, Hayden Crozier (30 disposals) was influential, while Billy Gowers (22 disposals, 12 marks, 3 goals) should’ve been the hero after kicking the goal to put them in front, but it wasn’t to be.
Shaun Higgins - 3
Ben Cunnington - 2
Ben Brown – 0.5
Billy Gowers – 0.5
Collingwood 11.13.79 def Carlton 9.5.59
The Pies got the job done but it wasn’t easy against a determined Blues outfit. This game might be a tricky one for votes with Patrick Cripps arguably best on ground for 29 disposals, including 19 contested, and 3 goals in a losing effort. Steele Sidebottom had a good game with 31 disposals, while Tom Phillips (28 disposals) and Scott Pendlebury (29 disposals, 1 goal) were also in the thick of the action. The eye-catcher was emerging superstar Charlie Curnow who plucked 10 great marks to go with 19 disposals and 3 goals.
Patrick Cripps – 3
Steele Sidebottom - 2
Scott Pendlebury – 0.5
Charlie Curnow – 0.5
