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NFL 2022-23: Jaguars at Jets Preview & Betting Tips

December 22nd 2022, 6:05pm, By: Ben Bridge

NFL Betting Tips

A massive Thursday Night battle between two AFC teams on the precipice of making the playoffs, with the Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) heading to New York to take on the Jets (7-7). The Jets are currently 4th in their division, however, still have a chance at a wild card spot, however a win here is critical, in what is the Jets’ final home game of the season. The Jags have been one of the surprise packets of the second half of the season, winning 3 of their last 5, including an impressive come-from-behind victory over the Cowboys last week. They are one game behind AFC South leading Titans, and a win here keeps their destiny in their own hands.

We had a much-needed sweep on Monday Night Football, going 3-0 in our bets as the Packers got by the Rams 24-12. Our record now stands at 27-23-1 (+3.12u) for the season in prime time.

Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets Preview & Betting Tips

Metlife Stadium, Friday 12:15pm AEDT

Last Week

On any other week, the Jaguars comeback win last week would have been insane, but in what was one of the craziest NFL weekends I can recall, the Jags comeback seemed less impressive than what it was. The Cowboys led 21-7 at halftime in a dominant first half display. But a massive second half performance by quarterback Trevor Lawrence saw the Jags push the game to overtime, where they managed to win on a walk-off pick-6. Lawrence finished with 318 yards and 4 touchdowns, with the Jags rushing for 192 yards on 7.1 yards per carry.

The Jets were on the other side of a comeback, with a crushing 20-17 loss to the Detroit Lions. With the Jets up 17-13, the Lions had a 4th and 1 just on their own side of halfway. Head Coach Dan Campbell decided to go for it, running a short pitch to tight-end Brock Wright, who ran for a 51-yard touchdown. The Jets had a chance to tie the game late, however Robert Saleh failed to manage the clock properly, leaving Greg Zuerlein a 58-yard field goal to send the game to overtime. Zuerlein missed, sending the Jets to 7-7.

 

Injury Report

Jacksonville Jaguars

Cam Robinson (OT) – OUT

Shaquill Griffin (CB) – OUT

Jordan Smith (DE) – OUT

Ben Bartch (OG) – OUT

Jawaan Taylor (OT) – QUESTIONABLE

Brandon Scherff (OG) – QUESTIONABLE

Travon Walker (OLB) – QUESTIONABLE

Trevor Lawrence (QB) – QUESTIONABLE

New York Jets

Mike White (QB) – OUT

Mekhi Becton / Cedric Ogbuehi / Max Mitchell (OT) – OUT

Elijah Vera-Tucker (OG) – OUT

Breece Hall (RB) – OUT

Denzel Mims / Corey Davis (WR) – QUESTIONABLE

Quinnen Williams (DT) – QUESTIONABLE

 

Match Preview

Really looking forward to this clash, with the top two picks in the 2021 NFL draft set to go head-to-head for a second time in their short careers. After one season each, it appeared as though both Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson were trending towards being busts, however one of them has made some gigantic leaps during his second season.

No matter which way you slice it, Trevor Lawrence has been a top 5 quarterback in the NFL over the past 6 weeks, with his only mediocre performance coming against a red-hot Lions team in week 13. Conversely, Zach Wilson was unceremoniously axed as the starting quarterback for the Jets, demoted to 3rd string following a poor week 11 loss to the Patriots.

Despite this, Wilson has been given another chance to save his career, after a rib injury to Mike White in week 14 against the Bills, which saw Wilson once again named the starting quarterback. Despite throwing for 317 yards and 2 touchdowns last week, the jury is still out on Wilson, after some horrific decision making during the game. It’ll be fascinating to see if he can fix these issues, because he needs to this week.

The Jets’ defence is the best unit in this matchup, followed by the Jags offense. But where I’m handicapping this game, is the quarterbacks and the Head Coaches. In both instances, I give the advantage to the Jags. I trust the elite level quarterback play of Lawrence to continue, despite coming up against a top 5 defence in the league. My numbers agree with the market number of a pick em’, so I’ll back the better QB and Coach combo.

Jacksonville Jaguars

$2 (2 Units)

 

Based in Newcastle, Ben earns a living working for the NSW Government, but his real passion lies in sports and sports betting. Ben has spent years developing sports betting models for various sports and has been using these models for the past few years, creating articles for Before You Bet across NRL, NFL, Formula 1, and fantasy sports contests on Draftstars.

A lifelong Penrith Panthers fan, Ben has finally seen some rewards for his years of loyal support, with the Panthers chasing a fourth straight NRL Premiership in 2024.

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