AFL Round 18 continues on Sunday where there are three matches on the schedule. Second up is a fixture between Richmond and GWS at the MCG, which occupies the 3:20pm (AEST) timeslot. As always, we bring you our full betting preview, complete with a best bet and Same Game Multi!
Also, Before You Bet will be providing free previews and betting tips for EVERY game in the 2024 AFL season, so make sure to head over to out our AFL Tips regularly to keep up to date with all of our free content.
2024 AFL Round 18 Preview & Betting Tips
Richmond vs GWS
Sunday 3:20pm AEST, July 14th, MCG
The end of the season can’t come quick enough for Richmond who are currently in the box seat to secure their first wooden spoon since 2007. They’ve won just two matches to date and have a dismal percentage of 62.3% which is 2% lower than the Kangaroos in 17th.
Last weekend it was the Dockers’ turn to beat up on the Tigers and they did just that to the tune of 51 points (54-105). The Tiges have now failed to get to the 80-point mark in a dozen straight matches, and are averaging just 57 points per game across their past three.
Coach Adem Yze has been shaking things up at selection to try and find a successful formula and has opted for four changes this weekend, all of which were unforced. Headlining the ins is Dion Prestia, while tall forward Samson Ryan has also been recalled.
GWS began 2024 on fire with wins in each of their first five games before their form quickly fell away. They won just three games between Round 6-16, but looked to be somewhat back to their best in a gritty comeback win against the Blues last weekend (116-104).
The Giants trailed by 39 points early in the second term against the Blues before the wheel turned. The Orange Tsunami was in full effect in the middle two quarters where they outscored the Blues by a whopping 69 points (89-20), which was clearly where the game was won.
The Giants have still opted to make one unforced change at selection this week with talented defender Leek Aleer getting omitted. Lachie Ash comes in for him after battling a calf issue in recent weeks.
Match Prediction: The Tigers have had the wood over the Giants in recent years, winning three of their last four meetings including their most recent at the MCG; however, the Tigers are certainly not the side they were in those matches which means recent H2H form can get tossed aside.
Clearly, the Giants are the more talented side and should also be the hungrier dog in the fight considering their finals hopes are well and truly hanging in the balance. I expect them to bring the greater intensity to this fixture and to come away with a comfortable victory at the MCG.
GWS -23.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Same Game Multi
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GWS to Win – For the reasons mentioned above.
Jesse Hogan 3+ Goals – He’s a tough assignment for every defence in the competition, and big Jesse should get plenty of supply on Sunday.
Toby Greene 2+ Goals – Likewise, Greene is a tough cover for the Tigers defence. He’s building his form and should be hitting the scoreboard here.
Tom Green 25+ Disposals – Ball magnet that seldom receives a tag. He should find his way to at least 25 touches again.
SGM Odds: $3 at BoomBet
