It was a monster start to the NFL for Before You Bet followers last week as we went 10-3 on our Monday tips! We’ll be looking to carry on the momentum as we preview the key Monday games as well as provide our tips for every matchup below.
NFL Week 2 Betting Tips
Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars
Monday 3.00am (AEST)
The Chiefs went down to the Lions in the opening game of teh season on Thursday night but will now have the benefit of an extended break before they travel to Jacksonville to take on the Jags. The Chiefs offence was uncharacteristically poor in the loss, with dropped passes being a significant contributor to the performance. Star tight end Travis Kelce should be back in the line-up this week, giving Patrick Mahomes some much needed depth to throw to at the skill positions.
The Jags got off to a hot start in season 2023-24, downing the Colts in Indianapolis 31-21 and covering the 3.5 point line in the process. Quarterback Travor Lawrence was impressive without setting the world alight in the win, passing for 241 yards and 2 touchdowns while receiver Calvin Ridley caught eight passes for 101 yards and a TD.
Hard to believe that this Chiefs team will start the season 0-2 after winning the Super Bowl. I like them to bounce back here, especially if Kelce is confirmed in the line-up. The Chiefs are 7-2 covering the spread when favoured by 2.5 points or less over the course of Mahomes career.
- Patrick Mahomes holds a 7-2 against-the-spread (ATS) record when he's favored by fewer than three points, including playoff games.
- Under the leadership of Doug Pederson, the Jaguars have a perfect 5-0 record in outright victories as home underdogs, playoffs included.
- In their most recent eight games, including playoff matchups, the Jaguars have an impressive ATS record of 7-1.
New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys
Monday 6.25am (AEST)
The Jets recorded an opening week win over the Bills on Monday night football in what should have been a celebration of the Jets return to prominence. However, Jets fans were left heartbroken as star recruit quarterback Aaron Rodgers suffered a ruptured achilles in just his third offensive play in a Jets uniform. Backup Zach Wilson will start in place of Rodgers for the foreseeable future and was serviceable in the win over the Bills.
Along with the 49ers, the Cowboys were the most impressive team of Week 1 in the NFL. They recorded a blowout 40-0 win over the Giants on Sunday night football, barely putting a foot wrong all night as they cruised home.
Wilson looked okay against the Bills but this Dallas defence is something else. They have arguably the best defensive player in the league in Micah Parsons, who will be putting pressure on the Jets QB all night. The Cowboys have the best record against the spread in the NFL over the last two years and should cover here.
- The Cowboys are 24-11 against the spread over the last three seasons, tied for best in the league with the Lions.
- The Jets are 2-8 against teh spread in their last 10 September games.
- The under is 7-0 in Zack Wilsons last seven starts.
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers
Tuesday 9.15am (AEST)
I could probably think of a few other games on this slate that I’d like to watch in the prime-time Monday night slot than this NFC South but bad football is better than no football after all. The Panthers looked pretty dismal in Week 1, going down to the Falcons on the road by 14 points. There wasn’t much to like on offence or defence for Carolina, indicating that it could be a long season ahead.
The Saints kicked off their season with a one point win over the Titans at home in Week 1. New Saints quarterback Derek Carr was solid at the helm, passing for 305 yards on 22/33. The Saints have a pretty strong defence and still have dynamic offensive weapons in the likes of Chris Olave, Michael Thomas and Jamaal Williams. If they can put it all together this season I could see them doing some damage in this weaker NFC North division.
Dating back to last season, the Saints have not allowed more than 20 points in their last nine games. I don’t think there is any chance the Panthers score 20+ here, which is why I like the Saints to cover this three point line.
- Since 2016, the Saints are an impressive 38-19 against the spread when playing on the road.
- The Saints were just 1-5 against the spread in the NFC South last season.
- On the contrary, the Panthers were 4-1 against the spread as home underdogs last season.
Other Tips
Colts at Texans - Colts H2H ($2.00 at b365)
Packers at Falcons - Over 40.0 ($1.90 at b365)
Seahawks at Lions - Lions -4.5 ($1.90 at b365)
Ravens at Bengals - Over 46.5 ($1.90 at b365)
Raiders at Bills - Bills -8 ($1.90 at b365)
Bears at Buccaneers - Bears +2.5 ($1.90 at b365)
49ers at Rams - 49ers -7.5 ($1.90 at b365)
Giants at Cardinals - Under 39.5 ($1.90 at b365)
Commanders at Broncos - Under 39.0 ($1.90 at b365)
Dolphins at Patriots - Over 46.5 ($1.90 at b365)
