We are now a third of the way through the NFL regular season, and thankfully totals are up across the board, as well as scoring in general. Not only is this better for the spectacle of the game, but it’s also far more exciting when playing fantasy football. This week, we have a 10-game slate on Monday morning to sink our teeth into. In the 7-game early window, there are three games with game totals of 48+, with several fantasy stars on offer. In the 3-game late window, the big Super Bowl rematch between the Chiefs and 49ers is where most people’s eyes will be, but not us. No, the fantasy degenerates will be far more concerned with the Commanders v Panthers game, where the Commanders could be one of the best stack positions of the season.
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NFL 2024-25 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 7
Quarterbacks
Jayden Daniels - $17,640
Daniels keeps killing it, and I see no reason that will stop this week against the Panthers. Daniels has been remarkably consistent this season with his fantasy production, averaging 22.7 points per game, with only one score under 20. The Panthers have conceded the most points in the NFL this season, whilst their defence ranks 31st against the pass in DVOA. There is a slight concern that the Commanders get out to a lead and lean on the run, but the Panthers should have enough points in them against a poor Commanders’ defence to allow Daniels to cook.
Kirk Cousins - $13,840
Cousins gets a Seahawks team that is struggling defensively the past few weeks. In their last three games, the Seahawks have allowed the highest yards per attempt, the second-most passing touchdowns and fantasy points via passing, and the third-highest success rate per drop back. The Falcons offense is humming, and with London, Mooney, Pitts, and Robinson all fit and firing, expect Kirk to have another big game this week. This game has the second-highest total on the board, and Cousins’ touchdown prop sits at over 1.5 ($1.60).
Running Backs
Kyren Williams - $15,980
Williams and the Rams come into week 7 fresh off the bye, and this could be a monster week for Williams here. The Rams take on the Raiders in week 7, and are solid 7-point favourites, indicating the game script could be tremendous for a big day of rushing for Williams. The Rams figure to lead early and score points, indicating they will lean into Williams the longer the game goes. The Raiders are also horrible at defending the run, ranking 28th in the league per DVOA in rush defence, and are conceding the 9th-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs.
Austin Ekeler - $10,000
Both our cheaper options this week are slightly contingent on injury news, however both are solid plays even without the best possible outcome of this news. Ekeler takes on a Panthers’ run defence that flat out stinks, and if RB1 Brian Robinson Jr. isn’t able to play this week, Ekeler should eat. The Panthers are currently allowing the third-most rushing yards per game, the seventh-highest rushing success rate, the 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 17th-most receiving yards per game to opposing running backs. Whilst he’s lost a lot of his explosiveness over the years, Ekeler is still a volume based RB1 this week.
Tyler Goodson - $8,220
Goodson easily has the most juice of the Colts running back room when Jonathan Taylor is missing, however Trey Sermon continues to get the nod to start games. However, with Taylor already ruled out and Sermon coming into the week under an injury cloud, Goodson could be in for a higher workload this week. The Dolphins’ run defence has been horrible this season, conceding the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing rushers. Averaging close to 10 points with Taylor out, Goodson is a solid FLEX play this week, even more so if Sermon is limited.
Wide Receivers
Justin Jefferson - $16,430
JJ comes in this week fresh off the bye, taking on a Lions’ defence that is now without their superstar pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson. The Lions’ pass defence hasn’t been great this season, and with no Hutch, the Vikings should be able to scheme Jefferson into a huge game. With Lions’ number 1 man coverage corner Carlton Davis questionable to take the field this week, Jefferson should be able to get whatever he wants. The Lions play man coverage at a top 5 rate in the league, with Jefferson averaging a ridiculous 6.05 yards per route run (YPRR) versus man this year.
A.J. Brown - $14,860
Brown represents terrific value this week, as the sixth-most expensive wide receiver in the slate. Brown came back with a bang last week against a solid Browns’ secondary, catching 6 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown. This week, Brown and the Eagles’ offense gets a more favourable matchup against the Giants, who rate 22nd in DVOA versus the pass, and 27th against number 1 wide receivers. With a stout run defence, I expect Hurts and the Eagles’ offense to air it out this week, with Brown showing once again why he’s an Alpha in this league.
Tyreek Hill - $12,590
This list of wide receivers is feeling a lot like 2023. Tyreek Hill at $12,590?? Yes please. Whilst the Dolphins’ offense has been horrible with Tyler Huntley under center, I expect them to look much better this week coming out of the bye. The Colts’ defence sets up perfectly for a breakout game for Hill this week, as they defend in a single-high safety look at the fifth-highest rate in the league. Against single-high, Hill commands a 37.5% target share, a 42.9% first-read share, a 57.4% air-yard share, and 2.72 YPRR. This is the week for a Tyreek take off!
Tight Ends
George Kittle - $12,000
Kittle is TE1 this season and appears one of the only bright spots in this position. This week, he gets a cracking matchup against the Chiefs, and I believe he’s being undervalued based on the name of his opponent. The Chiefs currently concede the most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends, and with Kittle commanding the third-most targets (7) for tight ends in the league, I expect another big game from Kittle. The one area of concern is how the Chiefs managed to shut Kittle down in last season’s Super Bowl, but I don’t think that happens again here.
David Njoku - $8,500
Njoku appears to be fully back up to speed after his injury layoff, and I like him as a play this week. The Browns take on the Bengals this week, who have conceded the fifth-most fantasy points per game, and the tenth-most receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends. Last week, Njoku managed a 63.3% route share, a 30.4% target share, a 31.6% first-read share, and 1.63 YPRR. With no more Amari Cooper at the Browns, expect those number to increase moving forward for Njoku. If the Browns manage to get to the redzone, except the big tight end to gobble up a touchdown.
D/ST
Green Bay Packers - $4,730
A couple of cheaper options this week in the D/ST selections, with two D/ST units that have been particularly good this season, somewhat undervalued based on their opponents. The Packers defence, despite conceding points, is a turnover machine, and whilst some regression is to be expected, they can play this type of defence because of how explosive their offense is. The Texans have conceded the sixth-most sacks in the NFL, whilst the Packers get to the quarterback at the 11th-highest rate in the NFL. The icing on the cake for the Packers is the 17 takeaways this season, easily the most in the NFL. Lookout C.J.
Cleveland Browns - $4,640
The Browns defence continues to hold this team together, and despite conceding 23.5 points per game, they are still managing decent fantasy scores. The Bengals sit middle-of-the-pack when it comes to conceding sacks, whilst the Browns are likewise around league average when it comes to getting to the quarterback. I have a feeling this is going to be a very defensive-oriented game of football, and the Browns will be highly motivated in this intra-state rivalry game. Look out for a big special teams play.
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