The NFL continues into week 11, with an 11-game Monday morning slate, with some massive games of football to get into. We kick things off with a huge 8-game early window, highlighted by the massive AFC North blockbuster between the Steelers and the Ravens, and another huge rivalry game, as the Packers head to Chicago to take on the Bears. In the 3-game late window, the number 1 seed in the AFC is potentially on the line, as the Chiefs head to Buffalo to take on the Bills in the game of the week. It’s that time of the year, and all the best teams are starting to play one another. The NFL regular season is heating up!
As always, Draftstars has a $25,000 contest, with a $2,480 first prize. There are plenty of other contests for everyone to get involved, no matter your budget.
NFL 2024-25 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 11
Quarterbacks
Bo Nix - $13,430
Nix has progressed really well this season and has proven to be a solid fantasy quarterback option. His floor is nice and high due to his rushing ability, and in my opinion is being underpriced this week. Since week 5, Nix has also been getting the job done through the air, ranking 11th in passing grade, 12th in adjusted completion rate, and 17th in yards per attempt. This week he takes on a Falcons defence that has struggled against the pass, allowing the fourth highest CPOE, the seventh-most passing touchdowns, and 12th-highest EPA per drop back.
Drake Maye - $11,430
Another rookie makes the list here, as Drake Maye and the Patriots host the LA Rams. Maye, like Nix, has a nice high floor given his tremendous scrambling abilities, as he averages 44.2 yards per game at 9.6 yards a carry. Maye will be a terrific value selection this week if his offensive line can keep him somewhat clean, as the Rams have allowed the eighth-highest passing yards per game and passer rating, and the second-highest yards per attempt. Boom or bust this week for Maye but is worth a look if you think the Rams pass rush doesn’t get home.
Runnings Backs
Bijan Robinson - $15,520
Robinson is finally hitting the heights many predicted from him coming out of college, with five straight scores of 21+ in Draftstars. We are going to ride the hot hand here, as Robinson appears to be matchup proof at the moment, as the Falcons appear to be highlighting their best playmaker week in, week out. Whilst the Broncos are an above average defensive unit, you can attack them on the ground, and I anticipate the Falcons to lean heavily on Robinson this week.
Jahmyr Gibbs - $14,800 / David Montgomery - $12,490
This is a bit of a choose your own adventure here, as the Lions are currently listed as massive 14-point favourites at home this week against the Jaguars. The Jags have conceded the fifth-most points per game to opposing running backs this season, but it’s more the game state here that makes me love the Lions’ dynamic duo. The Lions should get out to a quick lead here, and they will then lean heavily on their two-headed monster in the backfield. Montgomery has the higher touchdown scoring upside, while Gibbs is a far more dangerous option in the pass game. Either way, I believe if you pick one of these guys, you’re on a winner.
Kareem Hunt - $12,890
This could be the final week of Kareem Hunt as the lead back at the Chiefs with Pacheco due back, and I expect the Chiefs to lean heavily on him against the Bills this week. The Bills have been a run-funnel on defence, conceding the second-most points per game in the NFL to opposing running backs. Since week 5, Kareem Hunt ranks as the number 5 running back in the NFL for fantasy points per game. With the Bills allowing the 12th-highest missed tackle rate, and 13th-highest yards before contact and yards per carry, expect another heavy dose of Kareem Hunt this week.
Wide Receivers
Puka Nacua - $14,140
Nacua has taken over as the WR1 in the Rams’ offense, but that doesn’t mean that both he and Cooper Kupp can’t get the job done. This week though, I’ll back Nacua to have the bigger game. In the three games since both receivers have been back for the Rams, Nacua has out-targeted Kupp in the two games he has finished (Nacua ejected in week 9). This week, the Rams take on a Patriots pass defence that ranks 30th in DVOA against the pass, and 24th against number 1 receivers. The concern is if Christian Gonzalez shadows Nacua, with the Patriots’ second year shutdown corner showing out this season. I trust the Rams to get Nacua open though.
Courtland Sutton - $11,530
Sutton is excellent value in this spot and could easily flirt with low-end WR1 numbers this week. Sutton is easily the number 1 target for Bo Nix and the Broncos, as he commands a 23.2% target share, a 40.8% air-yard share, a 32% first-read share, and 1.9 yards per route run (YPRR). This week, Sutton is a great stack with Nix in a game against the Atlanta Falcons, who allow the seventh-most fantasy points per game, and 13th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Mark him down for another 20+ score this week if he can get in the endzone.
Jameson Williams - $8,830
Williams came back from a two-game ban last with and looked a little rusty, targeted just five times on his way to 3 receptions and 53 yards. This week though, I believe the Lions might look to re-integrate their deep threat back into the system. Taking on the Jags, the Lions will surely have a couple of big play designs for Williams here, in a game they can probably win by 10+ without getting out of second gear. With the Jags running two-high at the second highest rate in the league, look for Williams to get fed, as his numbers all jump against two-high looks.
Tight Ends
Kyle Pitts - $8,950
The Falcons take on the Broncos this week, and whilst Bijan Robinson should be the focal point of the Falcons offense, I expect Pitts to be targeted plenty by Kirk Cousins this week. The Broncos defence against wide receivers is elite, however they are susceptible to allowing tight ends to get away from them. With Denver running the seventh-highest rate of single-high safety in the league, Pitts should have his targets close to double digits this week.
Dawson Knox - $5,000
Here we go, it’s Dawson Knox season. With Bills’ number 1 tight end Dalton Kincaid likely ruled out this week, Dawson Knox should come straight in as a high-volume top 5 tight end this week, for minimum outlay. The Chiefs allow the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends, and whilst I expect the Bills to run the ball effectively this week, they will still need Josh Allen to throw the ball against the Chiefs to win. Whilst Khalil Shakir has the highest upside for the Bills receiving corps, Knox at bottom dollar is a smash play this week.
D/ST
Detroit Lions - $6,580
Anyone who saw Mac Jones under center for the Jags last week will understand this pick. The Jags will only score points in garbage time if the Lions’ defence is up for this game, if they score at all. The last time the Lions played a game when they were double digit favourites was against the Titans in week 8. The D/ST units dominated the game, including a punt return touchdown, two interceptions, and two fumble recoveries. I expect turnovers and big special teams plays again this week for the Lions, and minimal points for the Jags.
LA Rams - $6,400
The Rams are a high upside play this week, against the Patriots who are a highly volatile offense. The Rams are top 12 in the league at forcing turnovers, whilst the Patriots’ turnovers have increased since Drake Maye took over at quarterback. Maye has that gunslinger in him, and players like that are always a chance at a multi-interception day at the office. The Patriots allow the fourth-most sacks in the NFL, whilst this Rams defensive front has been dominant of late, averaging 3.67 sacks per game over their past 6 games. High upside for the Rams.
Suggested Draftstars Lineup
