Week 10 of the NFL regular season continues with a 10-game Monday morning slate to sink our teeth into. We kick things off with a 7-game early window, highlighted by the Steelers vs Commanders, and three games with totals of 46 or more. A smaller three game late window would normally have seen the game of the day, as the Eagles host the Cowboys, however with the loss of Dak Prescott, this should be one-way traffic. The Jets and Cardinals should be a tight game, and hopefully with some points on offer will give us something to think about for our Draftstars teams.
As always, Draftstars has a $25,000 contest, with a $2,480 first prize. There are plenty of other contests for everyone to get involved, no matter your budget.
NFL 2024-25 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 10
Quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts - $17,880
Hurts continued on his merry way last week, scoring 29.9 points on 230 yards passing, 67 yards rushing, and 3 total touchdowns. This week, he gets to take on Divisional rivals the Dallas Cowboys, who have been absolutely horrible this season defensively, ranking 29th in DVOA. Hurts will look to continue his exceptional form over the past month, where he has led all players in fantasy points over that span, whilst accounting for 12 touchdowns and over 1000 all-purpose yards. Play with confidence.
Brock Purdy - $15,280
Purdy has gone under the radar this fantasy season, but with the 49ers looking as healthy as they have all season on offense, now is the time to look into making Purdy a part of your Draftstars team. Through the season, Purdy has ranked 3rd in yards per attempt, fourth in passing yards per game, sixth in completion percentage over expectation (CPOE), and 11th in fantasy points per dropback. This week, his matchup should suit him perfectly, as the Bucs allow the ninth highest CPOE, as well as the third-highest passing yards per game, success rate per dropback, and passing touchdowns.
Running Backs
Saquon Barkley - $17,470
Barkley went off again last week, rushing for 159 yards, whilst scoring two touchdowns on his way to a score of 35.9. Barkley continues to be the highest upside running back in Draftstars, and with only one score below 13.5, he has a terrific floor. This week, he and the Eagles take on the Cowboys, who rate 29th in the NFL against the run, per DVOA. With the Eagles coming into the game as 7.5-point favourites, the game script will more often than not involve the Eagles’ leaning on Barkley heavily as they will likely lead throughout the contest. Great chance to have the highest score in the slate.
D’Andre Swift - $13,060
Since getting things going in week 4, Swift has been a solid running back with a decent upside for the Bears, averaging 21.5 points over the past five games. This week, the Bears take on a Patriots defence that has leaked like a sieve on the ground, allowing the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the third-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest yards per carry to gap runs, of which Swift runs close to 60%. Swift is a solid choice if you want to save money on your RB1.
Rhamondre Stevenson - $11,210
Stevenson goes head-to-head with Swift in this one, and I think I like the Patriots’ running back even more here. Stevenson has once again taken over as the bell-cow of this Patriots offense, and he deserves the role, as he ranks 14th in the league in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 15th in yards after contact per attempt. In what is looking like a low scoring matchup, expect the Pats to lean on Stevenson against this Bears run defence, which since week 5 has allowed the fifth-highest explosive rush rate, the eighth-most rushing yards per game, the fourth-highest yards per carry to gap runs, and the eighth-highest rushing success rate to gap runs, which Stevenson runs at over 56%.
Wide Receivers
Garrett Wilson - $14,210
There was concern that Wilson’s value would drop with the Jets’ acquisition of Davante Adams, and whilst his 23-target game in week 5 hasn’t been replicated, he is still averaged 9 targets per game since Adams’ arrival. This week, Wilson and the Jets get a tasty matchup against the Arizona Cardinals in Arizona. Despite it being on the road, this is a good thing for the Jets’ offense, as they don’t have to deal with New York weather. The Cardinals rank 25th in DVOA against the pass, and with a total of 46.5, points are expected.
Darnell Mooney - $11,170
Mooney has been a terrific pick up for the Falcons this season, and he should continue to put up borderline WR1 numbers again this week against a Saints’ defence that has fallen off a cliff. With Falcons’ WR1 Drake London under an injury cloud, Mooney might be able to get this done for us purely from volume. Against two-high looks (Saints 4th in the league), Mooney commands excellent usage stats, with 24.6% target share, 32.7% first-read share, and 3.06 yards per route run (YPRR). The Saints have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards to perimeter wide receivers this season.
Rome Odunze - $8,850
There seems to have been an emphasis the past couple of weeks to get the rookie Odunze more into the gameplan, as he has averaged 6.5 targets per game in that span, almost 1.5 more targets per game than he averaged over the first two months. With D.J. Moore seemingly wanting out of the Bears, and Keenan Allen struggling to get going, Odunze could be a 1b receiver in this system very soon. Since week 8, Odunze has commanded a 20% target share, 22.6% first-read share, 35.5% air-yard share, and 2.13 YPRR. This week, he faces a bottom third defence against the pass in the New England Patriots. Excellent value here for a potential WR2 score.
Tight Ends
George Kittle - $13,640
Kittle’s floor might be a little lower with the impending returns of Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings, but he is the most efficient tight end with his targets, and the number 1 tight end redzone target in the NFL. The Bucs have been leaking points to opposing tight ends, conceding the fourth-most points per game to tight ends. With the 49ers expected to rack up a score this week, Kittle is the highest upside of all tight ends.
Jake Ferguson - $8,980
Philly has been particularly good against tight ends this season, and Cooper Rush isn’t Dak Prescott, but I still like Ferguson as a bit of point of difference this week. Ferguson has averaged 9 targets per game over the past two games, and with CeeDee Lamb in doubt with an AC joint injury, Cooper Rush could very well be looking for his big tight end over the middle. With no running game to speak of, and taking on an elite offense in the Eagles, the Cowboys are going to have to throw the ball. Expect plenty of usage from Ferguson, we just have to hope he jags an explosive play or two, or a touchdown.
D/ST
Minnesota Vikings - $5,360
The Jaguars come into this game minus their starting quarterback, a banged up wide receiver room, and about to take on a team with the fourth most sacks per game, and the second most turnovers per game this season. With a team total around 17.5, the Jags aren’t considered likely to put up big numbers, and given they will be likely chasing all game, the Vikings can attack the quarterback all game. This could get ugly.
Indianapolis Colts - $4,210
Bit of a flier here on a Colts defence that has been playing very well of late. Yes, they are taking on the Bills who have one of the best offenses in the league, but there are reasons to believe the Bills may have a down week this week. They are coming off a very emotional win over the Dolphins, and on deck next week is a home game against the Chiefs, where the number 1 seed in the AFC could be on the line. The Colts D/ST has three scores of 10+ this season, and if the Bills have one eye on next week, could have another solid score here. A real POD that could blow up in my face.
Suggested Draftstars Lineup
