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AFL Daily Fantasy Tips 2024: Round 21 Saturday

August 3rd 2024, 10:01am, By: Jesse Penfold

AFL Fantasy Tips

Super Saturday’s slate for Round 21 for the 2024 AFL Premiership Season features a massive four games as the seasons continues to draw closer to finals. We kick things off with a bottom of the table clash between North Melbourne and Richmond at Marvel stadium. With both teams sitting on 2 wins the loser will likely end up as the wooden spoon winner for 2024. Then Geelong host Adelaide at GHMBA Stadium in what should be a total fantasy point fill up for the Cats. At night we have two massive clashes with Port Adelaide hosting Sydney in a game with big finals implications for the Power, as well as the monster Carlton Collingwood clash at the MCG in what will be Scott Pendlebury’s 400th game. 

Draftstars continue to offer massive prize pools with the Saturday main contest worth $50,000 along with their usual variety of alternate contests:

  • AFL $50,000+ Saturday
  • AFL $5,000+ Saturday High Roller ($150 Entry)
  • AFL $3,000+ Saturday Mini ($2 Entry) 

The AFL Star contest is back for 2024 and Draftstars are offering the biggest prize pool in Australian DFS history with a $1 million guaranteed final with $250,000 top prize! There are qualifiers and satellites running for every AFL match, while there will also be a sprinkling of qualifiers across other sports such as NRL and NBA.

Meanwhile the 1000 AFL Target contests have seen the targets slashed as Draftstars looks to give away the Jackpot which is now heading close to $20,000. For just $1 you can enter, and if your team can hit the 950-point target then you'll share in the top prize!

Draftstars AFL Star

 

Betting Markets

North Melbourne ($1.96) vs Richmond ($1.84)
Points: 176.5
Line: Richmond -1.5

Geelong ($1.34) vs Adelaide ($3.18)
Points: 170.5
Line: Geelong -18.5

Port Adelaide ($1.88) vs Sydney ($1.92)
Points: 166.5
Line:  Port Adelaide -0.5

Collingwood ($2.45) vs Carlton ($1.53)
Points: 169.5
Line: Carlton -11.5

If you’re looking to bet on the AFL this season, then you can bet with PlayUp by using the same account that you have at Draftstars. PlayUp are Australian owned and offer an strong range of AFL betting markets and offers, including Same Game Multis.

Additionally, we have a full AFL Round 21 Betting Previews for all four games where we provide our best bet for the game as well as a great value Same Game Multi!

PlayUp

 

Weather

Adelaide – 16 and mostly sunny

Melbourne – 14 shower or two, only 1mm of rain

Geelong – 15 partly cloudy

Cool winter days, typical football weather with no rain impact. 

 

Where to Attack?

Despite being a four-game slate there are not too many obvious avenues to attack by the data on this slate. I would be looking more for the game stacks in these matchups. The obvious play on this state is stacking up Geelong at home against Adelaide. The Cats are only 18 point favourite but at this point in the season with the Crows out of finals contention I expect a much bigger result.

The other team I like to stack on this slate is North Melbourne against Richmond. The Tigers have been giving up above average points to key forwards, inside midfielders and attacking half backs over the last 10 games. North have been in decent form for a team on their level and love to possess the ball through the half back. 

Game Script – Geelong backs and forwards

 

VALUE PLAYS

Jaidyn Stephenson ($9,630) has taken over the prized role across half back for North Melbourne with Zac Fisher languishing in the VFL. He produced a solid return of 87 fantasy points last week but I think his upside is significantly higher than that, especially in this matchup where as we mentioned above the Tigers are giving up the most points in the league to attacking defenders off half back over the last 10 games.

Zac Taylor ($8,040) has been a solid young inclusion for the Crows this year as their season winds down and they look to blood their youth for the future. He had back-to-back scores of 86 and 78 points in his first full games of the year before coming back to earth with a 40 point game last week. He has been attending over 50% of their centre bounces the last two weeks and despite the Cats being favourites in this game, they have conceded points to inside midfielders this year.

 

MID PRICED PLAYS

Jeremy Cameron ($11,920) has been very up and down this season, but I love this game for him to hit a ceiling score against the Crows down at the Geelong home ground. He is fresh off a 100 point game and has shown upside of 120+ this year, which would be a great returns at this price point.

 

PREMIUM PLAYS

Reilly O’Brien ($14,130) is potentially a point of difference play at this price point. He draws one of the best matchups in the league as a ruck against Geelong, and despite the fact I love stacking up the Cats players on this slate, I love rucks down at GHMBA Stadium. The size typically results in more stoppages and more scoring opportunities for rucks. O’Brien is in his best form of the season as well with three straight 100+ scores.

Tom Stewart ($15,560) has moved to the midfield the last five weeks attending around 70+% of their centre bounces and when needed after the stoppage floating back as a loose man. This has been an absolute bonanza for his fantasy scoring with four straight games of 105+ and no score under 113 in his last four. Stewart is my first point of call for a Geelong game stack.

 

Suggested Draftstars Team

Draftstars Team

 

Cheat Sheets

Cheat Sheet

Cheat Sheet

Cheat Sheet

Cheat Sheet

Jesse has been playing fantasy sports for over 20 years, and actively plays both AFL and basketball in both season long and daily fantasy competitions.

Jesse has been an integral member of the DFS team, writing and contributing to Daily Fantasy Rankings and Before You Bet since 2019.

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