Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Sale, Warwick Farm and Belmont on Wednesday, August 1st.
Sale and Belmont are currently rated Soft, while Warwick Farm is in the Good range. There’s a thunderstorm and a lot of rain predicted in Perth so it’s likely that the track could end up Heavy.
We’ve gone through all three meetings and selected a few of the races to bet in below!
BEST BETS
Best Bet: Warwick Farm Race 6 #8 Seaglass
Next Best Bet: Sale Race 8 #5 Herecomesmybaby
Best Value Bet: Sale Race 5 #7 Zagaya
SALE
RACE 5
(2) Vladivostock was well backed last start following a win at this track and distance two starts ago, but could only manage to run 6th. The effort wasn’t bad though as he was only beaten 1.1L. Two of his three career wins have come at this track and distance and it doesn’t look to be the toughest of races. He can lead here and prove hard to run down back to his pet track. $4.80/$1.80 looks a reasonable each way bet. (7) Star Major is fresh off a spell and looks a big danger, while (6) White Devon is also first up and can run a race at double figure odds.
RACE 6
Putting another John McArdle horse on top here in the form of (4) Hope Ya Don’t Mind. This mare is first up and has two wins from four starts when fresh off a spell. All three career wins have come at the distance and she ran 2nd on her only visit to the track. Going to need a good ride from an akward barrier draw and obviously comes up agaisnt a fairly short-priced favourite but she’s got conditions to suit.
(4) Hope Ya Don't Mind
$3.80
RACE 7
Two runners of interest here. (3) Mr Sheridan makes his Australian debut and has his first start for Darren Weir. He’s got two career wins which have both come over the mile, but he has been stretched out to 2400m in the past so the 1700m first up looks suitable. He’s first up from a spell and he’s been gelded in that time, so in a moderate race, I’m expecting a big showing from the former Kiwi. (5) Zagaya could be one at a decent price that can run a big race. He’s had two runs back from a spell and has been beaten a touch over five lengths on both occasions. Don’t take too much notice of that because he tends to really fire third up – he’s had three starts for two wins. In fact, he won third up at this track last preparation. This is his first attempt at this distance but he will relish the soft ground, draws well and looks a sneaky chance at $13.
Value: (5) Zagaya $13 Crownbet
RACE 8
Keen to back two horses here. (5) Herecomesmybaby goes on top and she’s already been well backed in early markets, which is a good sign from this stable. She’s had four career starts for two wins and two placings and resumes from a little spell today. She should be able to box seat from barrier 1 here and if she brings her best form then she’ll be awfully hard to beat. The value could be (3) Roseberry Street who comes out of a couple of decent midweek city races and has a decent record at this track and distance.
Value: (3) Roseberry Street
(5) Herecomesmybaby
$3.40
WARWICK FARM TIPS
RACE 4
Like the look of the Kim Waugh-trained (4) Spring Charlie here, who is aiming to keep his undefeated record intact. Both wins have come at Gosford, which I typically don’t rate when coming to metro grade, but his victory first up had merit in it and the step up to 1400m looks as if it will really suit him. Draws well, gets in-form apprentice Sam Weatherley aboard and finds a winnable race. (1) Bull Market is one to watch. Disappointing first up but has reasonable form in the past and returns here as a gelding for a strong stable/jockey combination.
RACE 6
Sticking with (8) Seaglass who was only beaten 0.8L first up in Saturday grade at Randwick, despite having little luck in the home straight. The form out of that race has already been franked with the horse that ran 2nd (Oria) winning on Saturday at Rosehill. Seaglass will improve second up here – Snowden runners always do – and McEvoy sticks with her. Should have no trouble in the straight from the wide draw, even if it means she will be a long way back in the run. (12) Sacred Edge is one to throw in at big odds. Like this stable/jockey combination, has a good record at the distance, a good record second up and has the synthetic hoof filler off for the first time. (13) Vain Elaine another at big odds that can show up.
Value: (12) Sacred Edge $21 UBET
BELMONT TIPS
RACE 2
Really liked the run of (6) Fa’lion Machine last start when very well backed at Northam. She ran home nicely over the 1100m and steps up to 1400m for the first time third up today. The wet conditions at Belmont should be no problem and she’s found a very winnable race. Pretty keen on the $3.10 available.
(6) Fa'lion Machine
$3.10
RACE 6
Excited to see the talented (6) Reveille return to the track today for the new stable. She has her first start for premiership leader Adam Durrant with William Pike booked for the ride. She showed plenty of ability early in her career and even though she may have been a touch disappointing last prep, she did run in some good races behind some good horses. Midweek grade here is a big drop in grade and if there’s any trainer that will get her back to her best, it’s Durrant.
RACE 7
Big field to close out the day and there’s a chance I won’t be outlaying much here at all given the storm predicted and the track possibly being waterlogged. (6) Kleva Kezza is racing in good form this preparation and was very well backed when running 2nd last start. The winner of that race was Spillinova, who has since come out and won again in Saturday grade, so the form is good. Kleva Kezza has had a bit of a strange prep, dropping from 1600m back to 1300m last start, but straight back up to 1700m today. That’s some query but I’m trusting the form on this one.
