Once again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.
Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 23 Vote Predictions below!
Stay tuned to BYB over the next two weeks as we provide some more in-depth analysis and betting tips across a range of markets such as leading team vote getters, match specific bets and head-to-heads.
2018 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 23
Port Adelaide 13.11.89 def by Essendon 17.9.111
The Port Adelaide season has ended in disappointing style, going down to the Bombers at home in their final match of the season. Recruit of the year, Devon Smith was again outstanding with 29 disposals, and with his 12 tackles, he broke the all-time AFL tackles in a season record. Zach Merrett picked up 29 disposals and 8 tackles, Dyson Heppell had 26 touches and 2 goals while David Zaharakis had 25 disposals and 2 goals. For the Power, Justin Westoff was enormous with 5 goals from 20 disposals and 8 marks, Chad Wingard had a game-high 32 touches, while Jared Polec picked up 30 touches and a goal in what may be his last game for Port.
Devon Smith – 3
Justin Westoff – 2
Jared Polec - 1
Geelong 22.10.142 def Gold Coast 5.10.40
Geelong claimed its second consecutive triple-figure victory with a thumping of the Suns. Patrick Dangerfield will finish the season with three votes after his 34 disposals and 4 goals. Mitch Duncan added 29 touches and a goal, with Tim Kelly (23 disposals, 3 goals), Sam Menegola (23 disposals, 2 goals) and Gary Ablett (25 disposals, 2 goals) all hitting the scoreboard. Michael Barlow was best for the Suns with a game-high 35 disposals with 9 marks.
Patrick Dangerfield – 3
Michael Barlow – 2
Gary Ablett – 0.5
Tim Kelly – 0.5
Richmond 15.8.98 def Western Bulldogs 14.11.95
The reigning Premiers survived a scare to hold onto their MCG streak with a narrow win against the brave Bulldogs who were arguably the better side on the day. Jack Macrae was dominant with 43 disposals, 14 marks, 7 tackles and a goal for a whopping 190 fantasy points. Lachie Hunter (35 disposals, 12 marks) and Josh Dunkley (28 disposals, 2 goals) also had plenty of the ball. Dusty Martin has finished the season with a rush as he is likely to poll votes for his 33 disposals and a goal. Jack Riewoldt secured the Coleman Medal with 5 goals from 14 touches, while Jack Graham also hit the scoreboard with 3 goals from 20 touches.
Jack Macrae - 3
Dustin Martin - 2
Jack Riewoldt – 0.5
Jack Graham – 0.5
Fremantle 9.13.67 def by Collingwood 11.10.76
Collingwood had to fight but got the four points against Freo to lock up a top four spot. Steele Sidebottom (32 disposals, 7 marks) and Scott Pendlebury (30 disposals, 1 goal) were the best for the Pies, while Brodie Grundy (34 hitouts, 24 disposals) was matched in the ruck but performed well around the ground. For Freo, Bradley Hill (35 disposals) had his best game of the year, while Ed Langdon (32 disposals, 10 marks) and Lachie Neale (34 disposals, 1 goal) won plenty of the ball. Might be a tough game to give votes as it could go a number of different ways.
Steele Sidebottom - 2
Scott Pendlebury - 2
Bradley Hill – 1
Brodie Grundy - 1
Carlton 8.13.61 def by Adelaide 26.9.165
Adelaide thumped the Blues to leave Carlton with their worst season in their 117-year history. Josh Jenkins cashed in with 7 goals from 19 disposals and 9 marks, with Rory Laird (34 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal), Rory Atkins (22 disposals, 10 marks, 3 goals) and Jordan Gallucci (17 disposals, 4 goals) among the Crows’ best. If it wasn’t for Jenkins’ big haul, Patrick Cripps would probably be picking up another best-on-ground in a losing performance. He carried his team with 37 disposals, including 24 contested possessions, 18 clearances and 7 tackles.
Josh Jenkins – 3
Patrick Cripps – 2
Rory Laird - 1
Sydney 10.14.74 def by Hawthorn 12.11.83
Hawthorn kicked the last three goals of the game to pinch a win and a top four spot in a thrilling contests against the Swans. Liam Shiels (26 disposals), Jarman Impey (22 disposals) and James Worpel (23 disposals) had good games with Ben McEvoy providing them first use thanks to 52 hitouts and 15 disposals. George Hewett picked up 24 touches but more importantly, kept Tom Mitchell to just 24 disposals of his own in an impressive performance.
Ben McEvoy – 3
George Hewett – 2
Liam Shiels - 1
Brisbane 11.6.72 def by West Coast 14.14.98
A comfortable win for the Eagles secured them a second chance and home ground advantage for week one of the finals. The Eagles were led in the middle by Luke Shuey (29 disposals), Dom Sheed (30 disposals) and Jack Redden (27 disposals), while Jamie Cripps was influential with 23 disposals, 8 marks and 3 goals across half-forward. Dayne Beams tried hard for Brisbane with 32 disposals and 2 goals.
Luke Shuey – 2
Jamie Cripps – 2
Dayne Beams – 1
Jack Redden - 1
Melbourne 15.12.102 def GWS 8.9.57
Another three votes for big Max Gawn is a possibility as the ruckman looks set to be right in contention on Brownlow Medal evening. Gawn had 37 hitouts, 18 disposals and a goal in a big win for the Dees. James Harmes collected 29 disposals, 6 tackles and a goal and also kept Josh Kelly quiet, while Angus Brayshaw racked up 32 disposals and a goal. Stephen Coniglio was best for the Giants with 32 disposals, 9 marks, 8 tackles and 2 goals, with Callan Ward collecting 29 touches.
Max Gawn – 2.5
James Harmes – 2.5
Stephen Coniglio - 1
St.Kilda 14.10.94 def by North Melbourne 17.15.117
The Roos and the Saints rounded out the 2018 AFL season with the Roos getting a comfy win. Trent Dumont finished the season strong with 38 disposals and a goal, while Shaun Higgins also good with 29 disposals and a goal. They were well fed by Todd Goldstein who had 27 hitouts to go with 20 possessions and 2 goals. For the Saints, Jack Steven was electric at times with 34 disposals, 8 marks and 2 goals, while Jack Steele also had a good game with 35 disposals, 9 tackles and 2 goals.
Trent Dumont – 3
Jack Steven – 2
Jack Steele – 0.5
Todd Goldstein – 0.5
