Who will win footy's most prestigious individual award? The experts, the betting markets and the bloke down the pub seem to think Nat Fyfe can't lose. Our 2015 Brownlow Medal rolling leader board predictions also has Fyfe on top. But if he underpolls and players like Hannebery, Dangerfield, Priddis or Mitchell overpoll, it really is anyone's medal to win.
However, we really do think Fyfe is going to be ridiculously hard to beat and might even be value around the $2 mark. Because he had such a slow second half of the year, it's easy to forget just how dominant his first half of the season was.
For those that aren't keen on the $2 on Fyfe and aren’t too sure about the outright market at all, there are still plenty of other betting options to try and find some value.
We have looked through all the major Australian sports betting sites and using our extensive spreadsheet in which we gave vote predictions for every game of the year, have listed some of the best 2015 Brownlow medal betting tips including head-to-head markets, special groups and various exotic Brownlow betting options.
We have opted to list these bets sorted by the site they are found at. We will also be including our confidence (low = '*', medium = '**' and high = '***') for each bet. Be sure to check back on this page to see if we add any new Brownlow betting tips in the lead up to the big night.
*** Click here for our Brownlow 'Most Team' Vote predictions and tips ***
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CrownBet
Brownlow Group Betting
'Gen Z' - Dylan Shiel is the favourite in this group, but we think there is big value on Mitch Wallis at $4.75. Our predictions have the Bulldogs scoring relatively equally with Shiel, so at these odds you would have to go with Wallis. Outside of these two I really don't think anyone else can win.
Tip: Mitch Wallis to win 'Gen Z' Brownlow Group - $4.75 **
'It's a Tall Order' - Another one where we think the value is on the second favourite in Stefan Martin. We have Martin outscoring the favourite Taylor Walker by a single vote and any of the other players in the group by at least three or more votes. Martin has been one of the standout big men in the comp and is good value in this comp.
Tip: Stefan Martin to win 'It's a Tall Order Brownlow Group - $3.75 *
'On the Rebound' - Bob Murphy is tremendous value in this group. I'm really not sure why they have Easton Wood as the favourite. Sure, both are All Australians, but Murphy is a known and respected player who the umpires would have had their eyes on, whereas Wood really only burst onto the scene this year. We have Murphy easily beating Wood by up to six votes.
Tip: Bob Murphy to win 'On the Rebound' Brownlow Group - $2.75 ***
'Ball and All' - This is a very interesting group. We have the favourite Callan Ward winning, second to Ollie Wines - a player who is sixth favourite and paying $9. If Wines manages to overpoll he could get up here at those juicy odds. Our official play is on Ward, but we will also be looking at a small bet on Wines.
Tip: Callan Ward to win 'Ball and All' - $2.50 **
+ Ollie Wines at $9 *
Brownlow Head-to-Head Betting
J.J Kennedy Vs. Lance Franklin - Can Buddy really poll more votes than the Coleman medalist? Our vote predictions say no with Kennedy putting up a convincing win.
Tip: Josh Kennedy to poll more than Lance Franklin - $1.73 ***
J.P Kennedy Vs. Todd Goldstein - This is a no-brainer! Despite our vote predictions having Kennedy winning quite easily, just think about the fact that ruckmen do not historically poll well.
Tip: JP Kennedy to poll more than Todd Goldtein - $1.70 **
Exotic Votes Markets
Most Votes Round 17-23: We are very, very happy to get on Dangerfield to win this market. He absolutely crushed in those last seven rounds and we have him leading this market by at least two votes.
Tip: Patrick Dangerfield to poll most votes Rd. 17-23 - $2.75 ***
Team With Most Votes 'C' - In this group we like the Crows to poll more total votes than the Roos and Port Adelaide. We actually have the Roos and Crows polling very similar (Port are nowhere near), but at these odds you would have to back the Crows.
Tip: Adelaide to poll the most team votes group 'c' - $3.25 *
Giants Votes Vs. Collingwood Votes - The favourite looks like a safe bet here aswe have the Giants polling almost 10 more total votes than Collingwood.
Tip: GWS to poll more votes than Collingwood - $1.70 **
Freo Votes Vs. Swans Votes - The Swans are favourites in this group, but we have Freo just getting over the line. Therefore, with the extra ten cents, Freo look value.
Tip: Freo to poll more votes than Sydney - $2.10 *
Ladbrokes
Jack Ziebell Vs. Taylor Adams: The $1.95 on offer for Jack Ziebell looks like value in this group. We think the Roo could win this by up to 3-4 votes and maybe more with the Roos having less players to steal votes than the Pies.
Tip: Jack Ziebell to poll more than Taylor Adams - $1.95 **
David Armitage Vs. Trent Cotchin: This is another case where the voting is very, very close, but with Armitage offering value as the roughie. Cotchin historically polls well, but Armitage was a redhot standout in the games where he will poll. Cotchin, however, played well in games where the likes of Ellis, Deledio and Martin were also playing well.
Tip: David Armitage to poll more than Trent Cotchin - $2.25 *
Most Team Total Votes: The Eagles are the favourites in this group, but we have the Hawks winning by a couple of votes!
Tip: Hawks to score the most total team votes - $3.25 *
Roughead to poll 10 or more votes: The odds aren't fantastic, but we have Roughie scoring up to 13 votes. He has scored more than 10 the last two years and could easily do it again.
Tip: Roughead to poll more than 10 - $1.50 *
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William Hill
Most votes Rd 5-10 - The favourite in this market, Sam Mitchell, looks like the winner! We have him polling at least two more than any other player during this period.
Tip: Sam Mitchell most votes Rd 5-10 - $1.90 **
'Captain Courageous' Group - The historically strong poller Scott Pendlebury should win this group. We perhaps have him polling higher than many other analysts, but still think he is the value in this group.
Tip: Pendlebury to win group - $2.25 **
'Blaze Away Butchers' Group - This is an interesting group in that Tom Mitchell is a real threat, but nonetheless we have Brandon Ellis the top poller.
Tip: Brandon Ellis to win group - $2.75 *
Cyril Rioli Vs. Mark LeCras - Another head-to-head market where we are happy to bet on the favourite. We don't think either will poll too highly. Regardless, we have Rioli winning by three votes.
Tip: Rioli to poll more than LeCras - $1.75 **
Keep returning as we may post more Brownlow Medal betting tips in the lead up to Monday night!
Make sure to read terms and conditions of any bonuses before signing-up! Odds posted in this article were correct at the time of publishing.
Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly. Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!
