The Swans and the Blues will duke it out in an AFL heavyweight battle on Friday night football in Round 10. The Swans are sitting pretty on top of the ladder while the Blues are looking to take another big scalp after knocking off the Dees last week in dramatic fashion. Hopefully we see another thriller tonight! It should be a beauty.
Draftstars continue to offer massive prize pools with the Friday night main worth $60,000 along with their usual variety of alternate contests:
- AFL $60,000+ Swans vs Blues
- AFL $5,000+ Swans vs Blues High Roller ($150 Entry)
- AFL $3,000+ Swans vs Blues Mini ($2 Entry)
The AFL Star contest is back for 2024 and Draftstars are offering the biggest prize pool in Australian DFS history with a $1 million guaranteed final with $250,000 top prize! There are qualifiers and satellites running for every AFL match, while there will also be a sprinkling of qualifiers across other sports such as NRL and NBA.
Meanwhile the 1000 AFL Target contests are set to return to Draftstars for the first time since 2018. Enter the contest and hit the 1000-point barrier with your team to scoop the jackpot!
Betting Markets
Sydney ($1.49) vs Carlton ($2.64)
Line: Sydney -12.5
Points: 170.5
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Additionally, we have a full betting preview for the game where we provide our best bet for the game as well as a great value Same Game Multi!
Weather
Sydney - Partly cloudy, 21 degrees.
There has been a lot of rain in Sydney in recent weeks, so thankfully it looks like we’ll get a clear night for footy this Friday.
Where to Attack?
As you’d expect from two of the league’s best teams, there aren’t a lot of negative trends from either team that we can look to exploit. It will be interesting to see how Carlton’s twin towers go up forward as Sydney are particularly tough to score fantasy points against for key forwards.
Perhaps the only area that Sydney look a little vulnerable is to outside mids where they do concede above average numbers.
One way to tackle a slate like this is to look for any key personnel and role changes and how that might cause things to buck the trend somewhat against the numbers.
Game script: Carlton outside mids
VALUE PLAYS
Brayden Campbell ($6,240) has been recalled to the team at the expense of Matt Roberts. It’s a bit of a like-for-like replacement, so if Campbell can get a favourable half-back distributor role, then it could potentially be juicy for fantasy scoring at a minimum price tag. Averaged 65.2 last season with a max of 110, and scored 87 against the Blues in last year’s elimination final which would be perfect at this price. Just keep an eye out for announcements pre-game as he has copped the dreaded sub-vest this season which would rule him out of fantasy play.
Ollie Hollands ($7,530) had a great start to the game last week before slowing down to finish with a 65 against the Dees. We’d like him to go beyond that here, and if we follow the data, he should be suited against the Swans who concede above-average points to outside mids. Hollands will run up and down the wing, and hopefully he can get a couple of +3’s and hit the scoreboard.
MID PRICED PLAYS
Zac Williams ($9,380) returns to the side this week following injury and it will be interesting to see what sort of role he’s given. Was exposed as a lockdown defender on the last line of defence a few weeks ago, so perhaps with Marchbank and Cincotta in the side, Williams will get freed up into a more attacking role from half-back which would suit his fantasy scoring. We know he has a good ceiling at this price point (remember when he averaged in the 90s a few seasons ago!) so is worth the gamble.
PREMIUM PLAYS
Blake Acres ($13,690) should be well owned in this one. Has had a great season with a 91.4 average and a high of 121 two weeks ago against Collingwood. As we’ve mentioned, this is a favourable match up for outside mids against Sydney, and Acres will be left to run up and down the wing to hopefully pick up plenty of marks.
Chad Warner ($13,940) is another who has had a sensational year, and his price looks attractive compared to some of the other premium midfielders on this slate. Warner is averaging 98.9 this season, but it’s his consistency that has been admirable with a low of just 86 this season. That’s a great floor to launch from, and we’d love to see him push a ton or higher in this one and match the scoring of the likes of Gulden, Heeney, Cripps and Walsh.
Suggested Draftstars Lineup
Cheat Sheet