Another night of esports action coming up this Tuesday, the 27th of July and Michael Lee is back to preview the action and give his best bets. Tonight he focuses in on the LPL 2021 Summer for all three of his bests.
ESports Betting Tips: Tuesday, July 27th
Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming
LPL 2021 Summer
Top Esports and Invictus Gaming should have met on Monday, July 26, however, their match was rescheduled to Tuesday, July 27 due to the impact of Typhoon In-Fa on Shanghai. Due to conflicting schedules with the remaining two matches, this clash will be played slightly earlier (14:00 CST).
Top Esports and Invictus Gaming are two of the strongest Chinese LoL teams, however, you wouldn't be able to tell that by looking at the current league standings. Invictus Gaming have managed only four wins from 11 fixtures and are currently the lowest-ranked LPL team that is still in the race for a spot in the playoffs.
A defeat here would more or less seal the deal for Invictus Gaming and their chances to reach the postseason. An unfortunate situation, but one that should inspire better showings from the 2018 League of Legends world champions.
Statistically, these two teams are fairly evenly matched, although there are a few clear differences in their playstyle. Top Esports prefer scaling compositions and making the most out of their strong laning phase, whereas Invictus like to focus on Heralds and using the early gold leads to snowball their leads.
If you put these two squads side-by-side, Top Esports seem like a far more stable team with a more well-rounded roster, however, it wouldn't be fair to undervalue Invictus Gaming. They might be highly unstable and tough to evaluate, however, Invictus Gaming still average some of the highest performance numbers in the league.
Regardless of what these teams' current standing suggests, this should be a very close game that can end either way. At these betting odds, you could easily pick Invictus Gaming with a +1.5 map handicap and get great value, but for those looking for a higher payout, a bet on Invictus Gaming with a -1.5 map handicap is hard to pass on at 7.40.
Invictus -1.5 Maps ($7.40)
Invictus Gaming +1.5 Maps
$1.85
Suning Gaming vs Victory Five
LPL 2021 Summer
Suning Gaming are much stronger than Victory Five, no matter how you look at this matchup but are they really good enough to justify the offered betting odds?
Suning have managed seven wins from 13 fixtures this split, whereas Victory Five won a grand total of zero matches across 12 outings. To make matters worse, Victory Five have won only two maps from 26 played, which translates to an 8% map win rate.
It goes without saying that Victory Five are by far the worst team in the league, and it's nearly impossible to argue against that, especially following their 0-2 loss against the second-last team, TT Gaming, last month.
Suning might not be good enough to compete for the league title this season, but they're one of the top-eight teams. One thing that could concern you, however, is Suning's poor form ahead of this match and their unusually poor performances against worse teams.
Regardless of their shaky performances this month, Suning should still win because they have significantly better players in all positions. That said, I like Victory Five on the first blood market at 2.12.
They have secured the first blood in 57% of their games this season, while Suning managed to do the same in half of their matches (50%). While the gap between the two stats isn't significant, we're still getting plus money on a 50/50 market.
Victory Five First Blood
$2.12
LNG Esports vs Rogue Warriors
LPL 2021 Summer
LNG Esports welcomed back their bottom lane duo Liao "Iwandy" Ding-Yang and Wang "Light" Guang-Yu, which is a huge positive. The two Chinese LoL esports pro players have been critical members in LNG's success story this season, as two of the best players in the league in their respective roles.
Another change worth mentioning is the addition of Chang "M1kuya" Xiao in the top lane, where he'll replace Hu "Ale" Jia-Le. Some may consider M1kuya as a downgrade, but I wouldn't agree with it. He is a solid player and, at the very least serviceable.
The return of Iwandy and Light might also suggest that they have finally got a firm grasp of the current meta, so we might see them return back to the form they've been showing throughout the earlier stages of the season.
I expected LNG Esports to be considered as favourites for this match, and it doesn't surprise me that they're priced at only 1.35 (at PickleBet). They're a much better team than Rogue Warriors, who have not achieved anything this season.
Rogue Warriors have had a few moments of greatness, most recently by forcing Top Esports to three maps (1-2), but that doesn't convince me that they're any good.
One slight concern I have with LNG Esports is that they've had a few iffy matches against bottom teams this season. Regardless, they're still a significantly better team than Rogue Warriors. LNG should get it done in two maps.
LNG Esports -1.5 Maps
$2.16
