Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Flemington on Saturday, January 12th.
We have a nine-race card on a Good 4 track with the rail out 6m.
Check out our preview and tips for the meeting below!
FLEMIGNTON RACING TIPS
Best Bet: Race 7 Order Of Command
Best Value: Race 6 Remember The Name / Amortentia
RACE 1
Likely a non-betting race for me with a field full of unraced two-year-olds. Microphone jumped out impressively at Flemington, basically leading all the way to win under a hold by 5L. Off that jumpout you’d have to say he’ll be hard to beat on debut. Auxin is his stablemate and the market might have separated them by a bit much. He won his first jumpout at Flemington and then missed the kick in his second one. He’s drawn to get to the right part of the track and Damian Lane is a strong jockey booking. Pretty Brazen was given a dead trial at Werribee where she jumped slowly and then went to the line under a stranglehold behind a wall of horses. She’s in the right stable to be competitive in a juvenile race and there’s been market support for her early.
RACE 2
Sweet Jazz only won a Stony Creek maiden last start but she clocked the fastest sectionals of the entire meeting in the process. She showed a bit of courage to take a pretty tight split at the 150m mark and charged clear to the line. Looks to get a soft run from barrier 1 here; just needs a bit of luck at the right time and she should be competitive. We’re getting $5.00/$1.85 in a field of eight runners so that looks a reasonable each way bet 1x3 to me. Jay Jay D’Ar hasn’t had much go right this prep but quite clearly is up to winning a race like this. She flew first up and then last start was a complete forgive. Goes close here with even luck. Bold Arial is another that’s encountered one or two problems this prep but she redeemed herself with a dominant victory in BM58 company last time out. She can make the step up in grade with Damian Lane in the saddle. Angel Lass next best.
RACE 3
Looks a race between the top two in the market, Silentz and Guizot. I’ll stick with the slightly younger, lightly-raced Silentz who may just have a bit more to come than Guizot. This could really turn into a sit-sprint which will suit Weir’s horse better, in my opinion. He’s come into form now and he’s been scratched from a couple of races recently so it seems like they’ve waited for the right race and this appears to be it. The form out of his last win looks strong with Black Sail winning last weekend. Just needs a touch of luck from barrier 1.
RACE 4
O’tauto was sound at his first start back from a break when running 2nd to Poised To Strike down the 1200m straight, which looks a pretty decent formline to follow given how stylish the winner was. He’s run well over the 1400m here in his debut preparation so expect him to improve with the run under his belt, getting back around a bend and rising in trip. Blinder continues to progress. He won nicely at Caulfield last start and justified some good market support. He needs to keep improving as that was only a Class 1 but he has the ability to do so. The claim for Ethan Brown helps. Symphonette next best.
RACE 5
Happy to stick with Masculino who didn’t really lose any admirers last start when Al Galayel was just a touch too good for him. He could probably lead this field if they so desire and I’d say that’s probably his best chance of winning. The 2040m run at the Valley will bring him on a bit more and he has a win over this track and distance to his name so he goes on top. Second Bullet looks ready to win third up from a spell now. He put the writing on the wall last start and his third up record and his record at the track and distance point to him going close today. Beauty Way was left a touch flat-footed at the Valley but he really closed off well late. No surprise to see him bounce back.
RACE 6
Gee this is a deep race with plenty of winning chances! I’m going to follow my money on a couple of runners here. Remember The Name should be much better suited second up today, up in distance, down in weight and with the good draw. I backed her first up but I did say on that occasion I was slightly concerned that she may need the run. She didn’t get much luck but it was probably true and with that run under the belt, I’ll give her another chance under more winnable circumstances today. Amortentia is another that should be better suited second up after a good first up run. She drops 7kg in the weights today and all four career wins have come at this distance. She looks value again at double figure odds. Flying Krupt and Twitchy Frank both come off last start wins and can definitely win again. Flying Krupt gets an awkward draw though and Williams is off after riding last start. Naantali is ready to do something third up with a positive jockey change, while you probably wouldn’t completely rule out Hussy’s Glow or Set To Sparkle.
RACE 7
Good little race but they’ll need to be good to beat Order Of Command who has won both starts this preparation in impressive fashion. Looked in a bit of trouble last start but Oliver weaved some magic and the horse really hit the line nicely in the final 100m. Looks hard to beat once more. Invincible Al will run his usual honest race. He goes well down the straight and is always catching the eye late. He’s just struggling to get things go his way for him to win one but he’ll be thereabouts again. The value could be Sir Donald who was beaten 2L first up by Order Of Command. He went close second up last preparation over 1200m down the straight and his overall second up record is very good. $26 is a big price. Intrigued to see the return of Princeton Spirit, while I’m Wesley drops from 1400m to 1100m so I’ll take him on.
RACE 8
Tricky race and not keen to bet really. I can make a case for a handful of runners but can also find knocks for them all. Chamois Road will run his usual honest race as he always does. Expect him to roll forward just as he did last start and be thereabouts at the finish. Whether the weight is a bit much for him compared to the stack of runners on the minimum is the query. Takedown was sound without being eye-catching in his first start for Darren Weir. Expect him to improve second up but he’s hardly put the writing on the wall. Cabeza De Vaca was beaten 3.4L by Winx first up last preparation and comes into this fresh. Probably leads from barrier 1 and will take catching if he runs to his best. Rock ‘n’ Gold won cosily last start after running 2nd to Chamois Road the start prior. He gives weight away to Chamois Road today from when they met and this is probably his level. Manolo Blahniq appears to have returned well but his Flemington record is poor and he’s drawn poorly today too. That leaves me with Mr Money Bags who won over this track and distance last start despite covering ground throughout the race. Needs a good ride today from the wide draw but he looks a horse on the up and the win last start really caught my eye.
RACE 9
Nothing quite like a 16-runner 1100m race down the Flemington straight to end the day. A lot really depends on the final field here and whether a couple of these emergencies gain runs. If they don’t, I Am Someone pretty clearly looks the one to beat after winning by 5L at Bendigo last start. It’s not a table I can typically catch but he doesn’t appear to have that much to beat. With that said, the Flemington straight can throw up some sketchy results. Tbilisi is the first emergency and would be one to have something on if he got a run. He steps up in distance now after running over the shorter courses at the Valley. He looks as if he needs that step up in distance and he might even need a touch further than this now. He hit the line well last start and can be competitive. Illumicon is the second emergency and I’d certainly be backing him if he lined up. He won well first up at Sandown last prep and has always had a bit of a spruik on him from trainer Tony McEvoy. The gelding operation did the trick on him last prep but he failed to go on with it after that first up win. Fresh up today, if he were to reproduce what he did last prep, he’d go close here. Wait until the final field is declared.
