Is the 2020 Brownlow Medal as good as over? Lachie Neale is a runaway leader according to our 2020 Brownlow tracker, thanks to yet another best-on-ground performance in Round 8. Who is going to be able to stop him? Let's take a closer look at the matches from the weekend with our Round 8 Brownlow vote predictions.
Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the Brownlow betting markets throughout the season, so that you can build a green book so that by the time the 2020 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit!
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2020 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
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Round 8 Brownlow Medal Votes
Lachie Neale is the man to catch, Jack Macrae is a possible smokie while Josh Kennedy is rolling back the clock! Let's take a look at each match from Round 8 with our Brownlow vote predictions!
Gold Coast 6.10.46 def by Western Bulldogs 7.9.51
It was an arm-wrestle but the Dogs will be relieved to get the points against the Suns. Jack Macrae amassed 29 disposals, 7 clearances and 6 tackles and he’ll challenge for Brownlow votes along with Caleb Daniel (25 disposals) who was excellent with his efficiency with a slippery ball. Bailey Smith (22 disposals, 1 goal and Hayden Crozier (19 disposals, 7 marks) were also valuable. Touk Miller (26 disposals, 7 clearances, 7 tackles) was best for the Suns, while Hugh Greenwood (22 disposals, 6 clearances, 9 tackles) was also influential.
Jack Macrae – 3
Caleb Daniel – 1
Bailey Smith – 1
Touk Miller – 1
GWS Giants 9.8.62 def Richmond 6.14.50
It was a Grand Final rematch on Friday night and the Giants got their revenge with a win over the Tigers. Toby Greene was a stand out with 5 goals from 18 disposals and is sure to take the 3 Brownlow votes. Josh Kelly (26 disposals, 8 clearances, 8 tackles) and Stephen Coniglio (24 disposals, 7 tackles) were typically busy in the middle, while Dustin Martin is going to contend for votes for his 23 disposals, 9 clearances and 2 goals in a losing effort.
Toby Greene – 3
Dustin Martin – 2
Josh Kelly – 1
North Melbourne 9.3.57 def by Carlton 9.10.64
The Blues held on in another tight one, overcoming the Roos by seven points, in what will be a tricky match for votes. Marc Murphy (22 disposals), Matthew Kennedy (20 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals), Sam Walsh (21 disposals, 1 goal), Will Setterfield (20 disposals, 6 clearances, 6 tackles) and Ed Curnow (19 disposals, 6 clearances, 10 tackles) were all good without being exceptional. Jared Polec might be in the votes as well with his 25 disposals and 1 goal clearly the best for the Roos.
Matthew Kennedy – 2
Jared Polec – 2
Mark Murphy – 0.5
Sam Walsh – 0.5
Sydney 9.6.60 def Hawthorn 7.11.53
The young Swans held on for a brave win against a disappointing Hawks team. Jake Lloyd (34 disposals, 7 marks) and Dane Rampe (25 disposals while clearly injured!) patrolled across half-back, Luke Parker (22 disposals, 1 goal) was important in the middle, while Tom Papley was brilliant up forward with 4 goals from his 11 touches. Jaegar O’Meara (25 disposals, 9 clearances, 1 goal) and Liam Shiels (24 disposals, 9 tackles, 1 goal) were best for the Hawks.
Dean Rampe – 3
Tom Papley – 2
Jake Lloyd - 1
Port Adelaide 6.8.44 def by St.Kilda 12.1.73
A huge week for St.Kilda as the Saints won for the second time in six days in Adelaide by knocking off the ladder leaders at home. It might be a tricky game for Brownlow votes with no clear stand out player. Jack Steele nullified Travis Boak while picking up 21 disposals to have a big influence, while Hunter Clark had 24 disposals which was the most on ground. Zak Jones (20 disposals, 8 clearances), Jack Billings (22 disposals) and Rowan Marshall (15 disposals, 11 hitouts, 7 clearances and 2 goals) might also be a chance of votes.
Hunter Clark - 2
Rowan Marshall – 2
Jack Steele - 1
Zak Jones – 1
Adelaide 8.11.59 def by Essendon 9.8.62
The Dons got a scare but held on as Adelaide’s miserable losing streak continues. Maybe the Crows should’ve thought about putting someone next to Zach Merrett who ran around by himself all afternoon to amass 33 disposals, 6 clearances, 9 marks and 6 tackles. Andrew McGrath (25 disposals, 8 clearances, 10 tackles) was brilliant in and under, while Darcy Parish (22 disposals, 1 goal) and Kyle Langford (19 disposals, 2 goals) were also very good. Paul Seedsman tried hard with 22 disposals, 7 tackles and a goal to be best for the Crows.
Zach Merrett – 3
Andrew McGrath – 2
Paul Seedsman – 1
West Coast 18.3.111 def Collingwood 6.9.45
The Eagles sent a scary reminder to the competition with a drubbing of the Pies, posting the highest total of the 2020 season so far. Josh Kennedy rolled back the clock up forward with 7 goals from 13 disposals and should collect the three Brownlow votes. Tim Kelly (29 disposals, 6 clearances) played his best game for the Eagles, while Andrew Gaff (26 disposals) also won a lot of footy standing by himself. Oscar Allen was also good as backup ruckman and forward, kicking 3 goals from his 14 disposals.
Josh Kennedy – 3
Tim Kelly – 2
Oscar Allen – 0.5
Andrew Gaff – 0.5
Melbourne 7.7.49 def by Brisbane 7.11.53
Is the Brownlow as good as over? Some might think so after Lachie Neale picked up another likely 3 votes on Sunday in Brisbane’s narrow win over the Dees. Neale racked up 33 disposals and 7 clearances, and was well supported by Jarryd Lyons (22 disposals, 9 tackles) and Hugh McLuggage (22 disposals). Clayton Oliver (28 disposals, 10 tackles) and Christian Petracca (24 disposals, 8 tackles) tried hard for Melbourne but to no avail.
Lachie Neale – 3
Jarryd Lyons – 2
Clayton Oliver - 1
Fremantle 2.4.16 def by Geelong 6.12.48
It was a miserable, wet slog to finish the round with the Cats too strong for the Dockers. Cam Guthrie made it look like a dry day with his skills as he picked up 30 disposals, 8 clearances and 6 tackles. Mitch Duncan (26 disposals, 7 tackles, 1 goal) returned to the team in style, Zach Tuohy (27 disposals) enjoyed the conditions while Tom Hawkins was the best big man with 3 valuable goals from his 12 disposals. Andrew Brayshaw was best for Freo with 27 disposals, 6 clearances and 8 tackles.
Cam Guthrie – 3
Mitch Duncan – 2
Andrew Brayshaw – 0.5
Zach Tuohy – 0.5