There's just one more round to go in the 2020 AFL season. Round 17 has completed and the Brownlow votes are locked away. It was a quiet round for those at the top of our Brownlow leaderboard, but there were a couple of stand out performances this weekend. Let's take a closer look at each match with our Round 17 Brownlow vote predictions.
Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the Brownlow betting markets throughout the season, so that you can build a green book so that by the time the 2020 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit!
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2020 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
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Round 17 Brownlow Medal Votes
Just one more round to go in the regular AFL 2020 season, and at that point, the votes will be locked in and our 2020 Brownlow winner will be determined. Not a lot of changes to report from Round 17, but Tim Kelly was a stand out performer for West Coast, while Jordan De Goey returned with a bang for the Pies. Check out our Round 17 Brownlow vote predictions below.
St.Kilda 6.14.50 def by West Coast 9.11.65
The Eagles were ravaged by injury, including most of their first-choice midfield, but still managed to come away with the points against the Saints. Tim Kelly stood up for his best game with his new club as he amassed 30 disposals, including 15 contested, 6 marks, 9 clearances and a goal in a best-on-ground performance. Andrew Gaff (33 disposals, 1 goal) was also prolific while Nic Naitanui (18 disposals, 33 hitouts, 9 clearances) was important in the middle. Jack Steele (26 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances) and Hunter Clark (24 disposals, 5 clearances) were best for the Saints.
Tim Kelly – 3
Andrew Gaff – 2
Nic Naitanui – 0.5
Jack Steele – 0.5
Geelong 4.7.31 def by Richmond 7.15.57
Another finals preview between two top four teams saw Richmond prove too strong for the Cats. It was an even performance by the Tigers with Dustin Martin (19 disposals) earning the most touches while Jack Riewoldt was arguably most influential with 4 goals from his 10 disposals and 6 marks. The Cats had some good individual performers with Cam Guthrie (23 disposals, 9 marks, 6 tackles), Tom Stewart (25 disposals, 8 marks) and Mark Blicavs (18 disposals, 7 marks, 5 tackles,12 hitouts) among their best.
Jack Riewoldt – 3
Dustin Martin – 2
Cam Guthrie – 0.5
Tom Stewart – 0.5
North Melbourne 5.5.35 def by Fremantle 15.9.99
Fremantle belted North in another pathetic effort from the Roos. The Dockers had winners all over the ground with Blake Acres (24 disposals, 9 marks), James Aish (23 disposals), David Mundy (24 disposals, 5 clearances) and Nat Fyfe (24 disposals, 7 marks, 6 clearances) winning plenty of ball. Up forward, the Dockers were exceptional with goals everywhere – Michael Walters is probably the best chance for votes for his 3 goals from 13 disposals and 7 marks.
Blake Acres – 3
David Mundy – 1
Nat Fyfe – 1
Michael Walters - 1
Port Adelaide 11.13.79 def Essendon 4.5.29
The Power overpowered the Dons in the wet to maintain their run towards the minor premiership. Tom Rockliff (31 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal), Ollie Wines (28 disposals, 5 clearances, 1 goal) and Travis Boak (26 disposals, 1 goal) all enjoyed the conditions, while Devon Smith (26 disposals, 7 tackles) and Jordan Ridley (23 disposals) were best for Essendon.
Tom Rockliff – 3
Ollie Wines – 2
Travis Boak - 1
GWS Giants 11.8.74 def by Melbourne 12.7.79
The Dees are still alive in 2020 after defeating fellow finals contender GWS in a thriller. Steven May (19 disposals, 8 marks) was brilliant in defence, with Clayton Oliver (23 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances) and Ed Langdon (23 disposals, 9 marks) well fed by the dominance of Max Gawn (15 disposals, 44 hitouts, 8 clearances). Tom Green (30 disposals) was one of the best on ground, with good support form Josh Kelly (24 disposals, 5 tackles) for the Giants.
Steven May – 2.5
Tom Green – 2.5
Clayton Oliver – 0.5
Josh Kelly – 0.5
Carlton 8.8.56 def by Adelaide 10.12.72
After losing the first 13 games of the season, the Crows have incredibly won three in a row to end the faint hopes of the Blues in 2020. Lachlan Sholl had a break out game with 24 disposals and 2 goals, while Matt Crouch (28 disposals), Rory Laird (27 disposals, 5 tackles) and Harry Shoenberg (21 disposals) were among their best. Sam Walsh (22 disposals, 6 marks, 6 tackles) continued his fine form, while Harry McKay was good up forward with 4 goals from his 8 disposals and 6 marks.
Lachlan Sholl – 3
Matt Crouch – 2
Rory Laird - 1
Hawthorn 6.4.40 def by Western Bulldogs 11.10.76
The Dogs were far too good for the Hawks and now have their destiny in their own hands to make the finals. Caleb Daniel was dominant across half-back with 28 disposals, 11 marks and a goal. Marcus Bontempelli (28 disposals, 8 marks, 6 tackles, 11 clearances) was superb while Tom Liberatore (28 disposals, 9 tackles) and Jack Macrae (29 disposals) were also busy.
Caleb Daniel – 3
Marcus Bontempelli – 2
Tom Liberatore - 1
Sydney 6.5.41 def by Brisbane 11.7.73
Brisbane were challenged early but ran away with a comfortable win over the Swans. Jarryd Lyons (20 disposals, 5 clearances, 1 goal) and Daniel Rich (23 disposals, 10 marks) were the chief playmakers for the Lions, while arguably the best players on the ground were Swans as Luke Parker (33 disposals, 5 clearances, 2 goals) and Josh Kennedy (26 disposals, 10 tackles, 8 clearances) enjoyed the slippery conditions.
Luke Parker – 3
Josh Kennedy – 2
Jarryd Lyons - 1
Collingwood 10.8.68 def Gold Coast 6.10.46
The Pies will be relieved to get the job done against the Suns and secure their finals spot for 2020. Jordan De Goey returned to the side for the first time since his best-on-ground performance in Round 7, and backed up with another brilliant performance. De Goey kicked 4 goals, and gave another away, among 10 disposals. Adam Treloar was also back with a bang with 26 disposals and 5 tackles, with Jack Crisp (23 disposals, 1 goal) also influential. Touk Miller (22 disposals, 9 tackles), Lachie Weller (23 disposals, 5 clearances) and Will Powell (22 disposals, 6 marks) were best for the Suns.
Jordan De Goey – 3
Adam Treloar – 2
Jack Crisp - 1