Eleven rounds of Brownlow votes are sealed and locked away as the 2020 AFL season rushes towards completion. It seems like only suspension can stop Lachie Neale from securing the Brownlow win after another brilliant performance, but there are plenty of other Brownlow betting markets that we'll be tackling as markets open. Let's take a closer look at the matches from during the week with our Round 11 Brownlow vote predictions.
Our Brownlow Medal predictions and rolling Brownlow Medal tracker allow you to keep an eye on the Brownlow betting markets throughout the season, so that you can build a green book so that by the time the 2020 Brownlow Medal night rolls around we’re assured of a profit!
You’ll be able to stay up to date with our live 2020 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
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Round 11 Brownlow Medal Votes
The Footy Frenzy has consumed another round of AFL football with Round 11 of the season throwing up some interesting results including a draw. The usual culprits are sure to catch the eye of the umpires with Lachie Neale proving to be an unstoppable force in season 2020. Let's check out our Brownlow vote predictions for each match of Round 11.
Port Adelaide 13.15.93 def Richmond 11.6.72
A finals-like match kicked off Round 11 action with the Power emerging late to claim an important victory over the Tigers to remain on top of the ladder. Ollie Wines was enormous with 28 disposals, 11 tackles, 10 clearances and a goal, and his output was matched by Travis Boak who racked up 31 disposals and 7 clearances. Robbie Gray contributed in the middle and pushed forward to pick up 22 disposals and 3 goals, and it’s likely those three will claim the votes on Brownlow night.
Ollie Wines – 2.5
Travis Boak – 2.5
Robbie Gray – 1
Remarkably, Robbie Gray is the 16th Port Adelaide player we’ve assigned Brownlow votes to this season for a total of 51 votes in just 11 rounds. By contrast, cross-town rivals Adelaide have been allocated just 6.5 votes.
Brisbane 14.12.96 def Western Bulldogs 11.6.72
Brisbane were too good for the Dogs with a comfortable victory in a game that might prove tricky for Brownlow voting. Lachie Neale will once again be right in the thick of the votes with 36 disposals, 12 clearances and a goal in a wonderful performance. He was well supported by Jarryd Lyons (25 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances) and Dayne Zorko (24 disposals, 9 tackles, 9 clearances). However remarkably, they didn’t win the most disposals on the ground as Bulldog Jack Macrae was huge with 40 disposals – becoming the first to crack 40 in the shortened version of the game. Marcus Bontempelli was also very good with 30 disposals, 6 clearances and 1 goal. To confuse matters even further, Eric Hipwood kicked 5 goals from his 10 disposals to finish the hard work of his dominant midfield.
Lachie Neale – 3
Jack Macrae – 2
Dayne Zorko – 0.5
Eric Hipwood – 0.5
West Coast 11.6.72 def Carlton 7.8.50
West Coast overcame a 19-point deficit to continue their winning run in 2020. Dom Sheed was best with 26 disposals, 5 tackles, 9 clearances and 2 goals in a complete performance. Nic Naitanui was dominant in the ruck with 41 hitouts, 7 clearances and 8 disposals, while Liam Duggan was good across half-back with 16 disposals and 11 marks. Sam Walsh (20 disposals, 5 clearances, 1 goal) tried hard for the Blues, while Zac Fisher returned to the team with 4 goals from his 12 disposals.
Dom Sheed – 3
Nic Naitanui – 2
Zac Fisher - 1
Melbourne 13.14.92 def North Melbourne 5.5.35
North Melbourne have slumped to new lows in 2020 with Melbourne storming away in the final quarter to record a big victory. Christian Petracca was sensational with 29 disposals and a team-uplifting goal, while Angus Brayshaw (29 disposals, 1 goal) and Clayton Oliver (31 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) were also busy in the middle. Luke McDonald was best for the Roos with 33 disposals and 9 marks, while Trent Dumont collected 27 disposals, 6 tackles and 6 clearances.
Christian Petracca – 3
Angus Brayshaw – 2
Clayton Oliver – 0.5
Luke McDonald – 0.5
St.Kilda 4.10.34 def by Geelong 14.9.93
The Cats are purring around as they smashed wannabe contender St.Kilda to the tune of 59 points. Sam Menegola was everywhere with 26 disposals, 11 marks and 2 goals in a brilliant showing that will likely earn three Brownlow votes. Tom Hawkins (5 goals, 11 disposals) and Gary Rohan (4 goals, 16 disposals) finished the work up forward, while Patrick Dangerfield chipped in with 19 disposals and a goal. Jack Steele was again St.Kilda’s best with 25 disposals and 5 clearances, but he didn’t get a lot of help.
Sam Menegola – 3
Tom Hawkins – 1.5
Gary Rohan – 1.5
Fremantle 7.6.48 def Hawthorn 4.8.32
An uninspiring game saw Fremantle find a win against a pretty ordinary Hawks team. Fremantle controlled the footy with Andrew Brayshaw (33 disposals), Adam Cerra (26 disposals, 8 marks), Nat Fyfe (28 disposals, 1 goal) and David Mundy (24 disposals, 5 clearances) all winning plenty of leather. Tom Mitchell was busy with 32 disposals, but remarkably didn’t lay a single tackle.
Andrew Brayshaw – 3
Adam Cerra – 2
Nat Fyfe - 1
Adelaide 5.8.39 def by Collingwood 10.2.62
The Crows were up and about early but the Pies avoided an embarrassing loss, despite going in with a severely undermanned team. Taylor Adams led the midfield with 27 disposals, 10 clearances and 6 tackles, Jack Crisp (22 disposals) and Brayden Maynard (21 disposals, 7 marks) patrolled half-back and Darcy Cameron was a target up forward with 15 disposals, 9 marks and 2 goals. However top votes could go to Adelaide’s Rory Laird who was superb with 37 disposals, 10 clearances and 9 tackles in the middle of the ground.
Rory Laird – 2.5
Taylor Adams – 2.5
Jack Crisp - 1
Gold Coast 11.7.73 drew with Essendon 11.7.73
The round finished with an exciting draw between the Suns and the Bombers which always makes Brownlow votes interesting. Jordan Ridley was our pick for best on ground with 23 disposals and 10 marks in an excellent performance at half-back. Zach Merrett (30 disposals), Dylan Shiel (26 disposals, 6 clearances) and Andrew McGrath (26 disposals, 6 clearances) were all prolific, while Lachie Weller was best for the Suns with 18 disposals and 2 goals.
Jordan Ridley – 3
Zach Merrett – 2
Lachie Weller - 1