One again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.
Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 6 Vote Predictions below!
2018 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 6
Western Bulldogs 11.14.80 def Carlton 8.11.59
A scrappy game between to lowly teams might make votes hard to pick. The standouts were pretty obvious, but the order might be tougher to predict. Marcus Bontempelli had his best game of the season with 30 disposals and 7 tackles, while Jack Macrae led the ball winners with 32 disposals, 9 tackles and a goal. Arguably best on ground was Patrick Cripps with 32 disposals (24 contested), 12 clearances and 9 tackles, but can he get the 3 votes in a losing side?
Marcus Bontempelli – 2.5
Patrick Cripps – 2.5
Jack Macrae – 1
Geelong 10.9.69 def by Sydney 12.14.86
A swingy game saw the Swans slam home seven goals to one in the last quarter to get a big upset win. Skipper Josh Kennedy was back to his best with 33 disposals and 13 clearances, and was well fed by ruckman Callum Sinclair who amassed 39 hitouts and 18 touches. Jake Lloyd was also good with 29 touches and 10 marks. Mitch Duncan was best for the Cats with 24 disposals and 7 tackles.
Josh Kennedy – 3
Callum Sinclair – 2
Jake Lloyd - 1
North Melbourne 10.9.69 def by 15.12.102
Port Adelaide overcame a tough week to get a comfy win and they should sweep the votes. Jared Polec was huge with 34 disposals, 12 tackles and a goal, as was Brad Ebert with 33 touches and 11 tackles. Sam Gray was the finisher up forward with 19 touches and 4 goals.
Jared Polec - 3
Brad Ebert – 1.5
Sam Gray – 1.5
GWS 10.17.77 def Brisbane 5.13.43
GWS got the points in an ugly game and dominated the ball winners. Matt de Boer led the way with 35 disposals and a goal, while Lachie Whitfield (33 disposals, 1 goal), Dylan Shiel (31 disposals), Brett Deledio (28 disposals, 1 goal) and Stephen Coniglio (28 disposals) will all be in contention for votes. Dayne Beams was good for the Lions with 29 disposals and a goal, while Stefan Martin dominated the ruck with 38 hitouts and 12 disposals.
Matt de Boer – 2
Lachie Whitfield – 2
Brett Deledio – 1
Dylan Shiel - 1
Hawthorn 13.11.89 def St.Kilda 7.12.54
The Hawks eventually shook off the Saints in Launceston to get the win with Isaac Smith best on ground with 24 disposals and 4 goals. He should get the three ahead of Tom Mitchell who was typically prolific with 45 disposals. Ben McEvoy should be a good chance for the minor vote with 22 disposals and 25 hitouts.
Isaac Smith - 3
Tom Mitchell – 2
Ben McEvoy - 1
Adelaide 16.14.110 def Gold Coast 9.8.62
A career-best 33 disposals from youngster Wayne Milera should put him in with a chance at three votes as the Crows recorded an easy win. Rory Laird (34 disposals, 10 marks), Bryce Gibbs (31 disposals) and Matt Crouch (30 disposals) also won a lot of the ball. Up forward, Tom Lynch was big with 25 disposals and three goals, as was Richard Douglas with 21 touches and 3 goals. For the visitors, David Swallow was excellent with 32 disposals and 3 goals, while Jarryd Lyons had 25 disposals and 13 tackles.
Wayne Milera – 3
David Swallow – 2
Rory Laird – 0.5
Tom Lynch – 0.5
Essendon 10.12.72 def by Melbourne 16.12.108
Max Gawn was again enormous as he monstered 42 hitouts in the ruck to go with 16 possessions and two goals in a best-on-ground display. Christian Salem was good with 27 touches, as was Michael Hibberd with 24 touches, while Mitch Hannan was lively up forward with 18 touches and three goals. Zach Merrett was best for Essendon with 29 disposals and 10 tackles.
Max Gawn – 3
Christian Salem – 2
Mitch Hannan – 0.5
Zach Merrett – 0.5
Collingwood 10.10.70 def by Richmond 16.17.113
Richmond kicked clear in the last quarter in a game that might be tricky to decide votes with a lot of very good contributors on the ground. Trent Cotchin led well for the Tigers with 29 disposals, while Dusty Martin had 28 touches, 10 clearances and a goal. Josh Caddy will also be in consideration for votes with 21 disposals and 4 goals. Statistically it was a big game for Toby Nankervis with 29 disposals, 17 hitouts and 10 marks – many of those good interceptions when the game was to be won – however his opponent Brodie Grundy was also good with 24 disposals and 33 hitouts to nullify Nank’s influence. For the Pies, Adam Treloar racked up 42 touches, while Tom Phillips had 38 touches and Jeremy Howe 30 disposals to go with 12 marks. Good luck picking just three vote getters from that lot!
Trent Cotchin – 2.5
Jeremy Howe – 1.5
Toby Nankervis – 1
Dustin Martin – 1
Fremantle vs West Coast
West Coast won bragging rights in the first Derby at the new Perth stadium, but the medal for best on ground was shared between Lachie Neale (35 disposals, 8 marks, 8 tackles) and Shannon Hurn (31 disposals, 11 marks). Jack Redden with 34 touches and Andrew Gaff with 32 touches and 8 marks, are likely to fight out the minor vote.
Lachie Neale – 2.5
Shannon Hurn – 2.5
Jack Redden – 0.5
Andrew Gaff – 0.5
