Once again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.
Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 15 Vote Predictions below!
2018 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 15
Richmond 14.9.93 def Sydney 11.1.67
Jack Riewoldt was a clear best-on-ground with a massive 16 marks to go with 23 disposals and 3 goals. He was well supported by Kane Lambert (27 disposals, 3 goals) and Nick Vlastuin (21 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) while big man Toby Nankervis won the ruck duel with 41 hitouts, 18 disposals and 10 tackles. Josh Kennedy was a stand out for the Swans with 36 disposals and 9 tackles.
Jack Riewoldt - 3
Kane Lambert – 1.5
Josh Kennedy – 1.5
Western Bulldogs 16.7.103 def Geelong 15.11.101
Harry Taylor won’t be getting any votes from the umpires, or Geelong fans, after his kick after the siren to win the game sailed wide. Josh Dunkley (27 disposals, 7 tackles, 2 goals), Toby McLean (25 disposals, 11 tackles, 1 goal) and Luke Dahlhaus (29 disposals, 8 marks, 5 tackles) will be hard to separate for the votes as the Dogs’ best. The Cats midfield of Selwood, Dangerfield, Ablett and Kelly all collected more than 30 disposals but that wasn’t enough to get them over the line. Joel Selwood led from the front with 34 disposals and 6 tackles, while Kelly had 34 touches and a goal, including 19 disposals in the final quarter, which was eye-catching.
Josh Dunkley – 2
Luke Dahlhaus – 2
Joel Selwood – 1
Tim Kelly – 1
Carlton 10.9.69 def by Port Adelaide 13.12.90
Could Kade Simpson pick up three Brownlow votes in his 300th game? It’s quite possible as his 37 disposals was a stand out in a losing effort by the Blues. Charlie Curnow was also impressive with 4 goals from 17 disposals and 9 marks, while Patrick Cripps was also good with 33 disposals and a goal. For the victors, Chad Wingard was again very good with 24 disposals and 2 goals, while Justin Westhoff was influential with 19 disposals, 6 marks and 2 goals.
Kade Simpson – 3
Charlie Curnow – 2
Chad Wingard – 0.5
Patrick Cripps – 0.5
Adelaide 12.16.88 def West Coast 12.6.78
A thrilling win for the Crows was led by skipper Taylor Walker who kicked 3 goals from 22 disposals and 10 marks in an impressive showing. Matt Crouch (32 disposals, 9 marks) and Rory Laird (32 disposals) won plenty of the ball while Sam Jacobs won the ruck battle with 18 disposals, 39 hitouts and a goal. For the Eagles, Andrew Gaff was the leading ball winner on the ground with 37 touches, 7 tackles and a goal which is likely to see him in the votes.
Taylor Walker – 3
Andrew Gaff – 2
Matt Crouch – 0.5
Rory Laird – 0.5
Gold Coast 8.12.60 def by Collingwood 14.15.99
The Pies jumped to second on the ladder following a comfortable win over the Suns. Brodie Grundy was dominant with 49 hitouts, 23 disposals and 9 tackles, and fed the ball to the likes of Scott Pendlebury (25 disposals, 7 tackles), Taylor Adams (30 disposals) and Tom Phillips (26 disposals). Up forward it was Josh Thomas who finished the work with 22 disposals and 4 goals. For the Suns, David Swallow, Touk Miller and Jarryd Lyons all tried hard with over 30 disposals, but that might not be enough to get into the votes.
Brodie Grundy – 3
Josh Thomas – 2
Scott Pendlebury – 0.5
Taylor Adams – 0.5
GWS 13.17.95 def Hawthorn 13.6.84
A great win for the Giants puts them back into the eight, with Callan Ward their best with 32 disposals, 6 tackles and 2 goals. Stephen Coniglio (30 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) and Lachie Whitfield (25 disposals, 1 goal) were also damaging. However the leading ball winner on the ground was Tom Mitchell who amassed 50 disposals, 9 marks and 13 tackles for a staggering 195 fantasy points. It’s statistically one of the most dominant performances of all time, but is that enough to get the three votes?
Tom Mitchell – 2.5
Callan Ward – 2.5
Stephen Coniglio - 1
Melbourne 18.9.117 def by St.Kilda 18.11.119
A bitterly disappointing loss for the Dees, but the Saints were the best team and deserved the victory. Jack Sinclair (30 disposals), Jack Steven (27 disposals, 1 goal) and Jack Billings (24 disposals, 9 marks, 1 goal) won plenty of the ball, while Jack Steele did a brilliant shut down job on Clayton Oliver while picking up 20 disposals, 11 tackles and a goal for himself. Jake Carlisle was enormous down back with 22 disposals and 9 marks, while Jade Gresham was electric with 19 disposals and 4 goals. If it wasn’t for the efforts of Max Gawn, the result would’ve been even worse, with the big guy arguably best on ground for his 25 disposals, 11 marks and 39 hitouts.
Max Gawn – 3
Jake Carlisle – 1.5
Jade Gresham – 1.5
Essendon 19.11.125 def North Melbourne 16.12.108
The high scoring for the round continued as Essendon rolled past the Kangaroos in an entertaining contest. Zach Merrett enjoyed the late withdrawal of pest Ben Jacobs as he racked up 32 disposals, 7 tackles and a goal. Dyson Heppell (34 disposals) also won a ton of the ball, with Shaun McKernan (18 disposals, 4 goals) and Orazio Fantasia (17 disposals, 4 goals) finishing off the work up forward. Shaun Higgins is again a chance to be in the votes with 31 disposals, while Ben Cunnington was tireless with 23 disposals, 8 marks and 2 goals.
Zach Merrett – 2.5
Dyson Heppell – 2.5
Shaun Higgins – 0.5
Orazio Fantasia – 0.5
Fremantle 9.10.64 def by Brisbane 18.11.119
One of the upsets of the season saw the Lions win their first away game of the season with a thumping on an injury-ravaged Fremantle. Stefan Martin feasted on the ball, after the late withdrawal of Aaron Sandilands, racking up 46 hitouts to go with 19 possessions. Dayne Beams (33 disposals) won plenty of the ball with Jarrod Berry (24 disposals, 1 goal) and Nick Robertson (26 disposals) providing fine support. With Nat Fyfe going down with a hamstring injury, it was left to Lachie Neale (31 disposals, 6 tackles) to carry the burden.
Stefan Martin – 2.5
Dayne Beams – 2.5
Jarrod Berry – 1
