One again Before You Bet is back with our rolling Brownlow Medal Tracker for the 2018 season. We’ll be providing comments for every game of the season, along with our vote predictions to help with your projections for the 2018 AFL season.
Our Brownlow predictions are one of the most popular aspects of the site with punters able to scoop huge profits using the information found in these pages. You’ll be able to stay up to date with our current Top 20 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, while there will be links to every single round-by-round voting posted there.
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can form a 'range' for each player (ie a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great incentives for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips, and of course, check out our 2018 Brownlow Round 11 Vote Predictions below!
2018 Brownlow Medal Predicted Votes – Round 11
Sydney 13.13.91 def Carlton 9.7.61
Isaac Heeney won the Goodes O’Loughlin medal for best on ground with an influential 22 disposals and 2 goals. Luke Parker (21 disposals, 2 goals) was also good, while George Hewett picked up 21 touches while restricting Patrick Cripps to just 17. Callum Sinclair won the ruck duel as he picked up 22 disposals, 26 hitouts and 2 goals. Sam Kerridge had the most disposals with 29 while Kade Simpson picked up 27 of his own.
Isaac Heeney – 3
Callum Sinclair – 2
Luke Parker – 0.5
George Hewett – 0.5
Western Bulldogs 7.9.51 def by Melbourne 15.10.100
Melbourne dominated and had a number of players who are a chance for votes. Angus Brayshaw was again outstanding with 39 disposals and a goal, and Clayton Oliver also prolific with 38 disposals. Up forward Jesse Hogan was in beast mode with 5 goals, 19 disposals and 10 marks, while Tom McDonald continues his good form with 4 goals, 24 disposals and 11 marks. Big Max Gawn was also in control in the ruck with 57 hitouts and 19 possessions and Neville Jetta added a spark with 24 touches.
Angus Brayshaw – 2.5
Tom McDonald – 2.5
Jesse Hogan - 1
Hawthorn 9.10.64 def Port Adelaide 9.7.61
Hawthorn continued their success in Launceston with a tough come-from-behind win against Port. Ball magnet Tom Mitchell was again in the thick of it with 28 disposals, 8 tackles and 2 goals, while Shaun Burgoyne was at his silky best with 26 disposals and a goal. Jack Gunston was influential with 25 disposals, as was James Sicily with 22 touches and 10 marks, while Justin Westoff was best for Port with 20 disposals and a goal.
Shaun Burgoyne – 3
Tom Mitchell – 1
James Sicily - 1
Jack Gunston - 1
Gold Coast 4.12.36 def by Geelong 17.19.121
Gary Ablett enjoyed returning to the ground where he played for seven seasons as he picked up 37 disposals and 3 goals against his old side in a vintage performance. Joel Selwood (33 disposals, 1 goal), Mitch Duncan (32 disposals, 1 goal), Patrick Dangerfield (28 disposals, 1 goal) and Sam Menegola (30 disposals, 2 goals) were all influential in a massive win.
Gary Ablett – 3
Mitch Duncan – 2
Patrick Dangerfield – 0.5
Sam Menegola – 0.5
Essendon 6.7.43 def by Richmond 17.12.114
Richmond ran away for a big win in the Dreamtime match, with Shane Edwards winning the Yiooken Award as a clear best on ground with 30 possessions and 2 goals. Dusty Martin was excellent with 28 disposals and a goal, while Jayden Short (28 disposals) and Josh Caddy (4 goals, 15 disposals) were also very good. Jake Stringer had his best game for the Dons with 29 disposals, including 9 clearances, while Devon Smith continued his super year with 26 disposals, 6 tackles and a goal.
Shane Edwards – 3
Dustin Martin – 2
Jayden Short – 0.5
Josh Caddy – 0.5
West Coast 16.5.101 def St.Kilda 14.4.88
With Jack Darling going down through injury, Josh Kennedy stepped up with his best game of the season, kicking 6 majors from 15 possessions. Andrew Gaff again got plenty of the ball with 29 disposals and a goal, while Dom Sheed had a late callup as an emergency to pick up 26 disposals and a goal. Jack Sinclair tried hard for the Saints with 29 disposals and a goal, while Tim Membrey kicked 6 goals to give the Eagles a scare.
Josh Kennedy – 3
Andrew Gaff – 1.5
Tim Membrey – 1.5
North Melbourne 21.15.141 def Brisbane 12.15.87
The Roos were far too good for the Lions with Shaun Higgins the most damaging early. Higgins had 26 touches to half-time and ended with 38 in total and a goal in a career-best performance. Luke McDonald was damaging with 34 disposals and 2 goals, while Ben Cunnington was under every pack with 28 disposals, 18 of them contested. Paul Ahern also made an impression on debut with 29 touches. For the Lions, Dayne Beams was brilliant with 32 disposals and 5 goals in a solo effort.
Shaun Higgins – 3
Dayne Beams – 2
Luke McDonald - 1
Collingwood 21.12.138 def Fremantle 12.5.77
The biggest Brownlow story to emerge from this game is the one-match suspension handed down to Nat Fyfe for his blow to Levi Greenwood. At the time of writing, Fremantle are going to appeal the suspension, but if they are unsuccessful, then our current Brownlow Medal leader, and market favourite, will be ineligible to win the award.
Fyfe won’t be troubling the vote counters in this game as the Pies ran rampant. Tom Phillips was everywhere with 36 disposals, 10 marks and 3 goals, while Steele Sidebottom picked up 37 touches and Adam Treloar amassed 34. Brodie Grundy was huge in the ruck with 48 hitouts and 18 possessions, while Brayden Maynard was good down back with 27 disposals, 9 marks and a goal. Up forward Will Hoskin-Elliott continued his run of kicking a goal in every game as he slotted 6 majors.
Tom Phillips – 3
Steele Sidebottom – 2
Brayden Maynard – 0.5
Will Hoskin-Elliott – 0.5
Adelaide 11.15.81 def by GWS 14.13.97
The Giants scored an upset win in Adelaide and had many valuable contributors. Stephen Coniglio suffered suspected concussion late in the game but still racked up 24 disposals and 2 goals, while Josh Kelly had 31 touches and Dylan Shiel had 30 disposals and a goal. Ryan Griffen had one of his best games for the Giants with 22 touches and 3 goals. The Crows mids won plenty of the ball but Bryce Gibbs (36 disposals, 9 tackles), Matt Crouch (36 disposals) and Rory Laird (30 disposals) couldn’t stop the result going against them.
Dylan Shiel – 2
Ryan Griffen - 2
Stephen Coniglio – 1
Bryce Gibbs - 1
