The footy marches on as we are already six weeks into a big season. Last week was one of our most successful punting weeks of the year and we hope to continue that with our AFL Round 6 betting tips.
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Collingwood Magpies Vs. Geelong Cats (Friday, May 8 at 7:50pm AEST)
Round 6 of the 2015 AFL season kicks off with the massive Friday night blockbuster between the Collingwood Magpies and the Geelong Cats. These two teams have started off the year at opposite ends of the spectrum, with the Pies overachieving and the Cats underachieving. This game is a great chance to see where each team is at.
The Pies lose Seedsman, while the Cats lose Kelly to that unfortunate testicle injury (no joke!). The Cats will be happy to have Clark back. Both teams are coming off wins. At the end of the day we think this one comes down to form and there is no doubt the Pies are in better form. The Cats were certainly better against the Tigers last week, but there is no reason to get off the Collingwood bandwagon just yet. We expect the Pendlebury form to continue on the big Friday night stage as he should lead the black and white to victory.
Tip: Collingwood Magpies by 1-39 points (Under 39.5) - $2.25 at Crownbet
North Melbourne Kangaroos Vs. Richmond Tigers (Saturday, May 9 at 1:45pm AEST)
Two of the most frustrating teams to bet on in the AFL meet in Tasmania on Saturday afternoon to fight it out for a much-needed win.
The Tigers showed some fight last week against the Cats, but ultimately weren’t good enough to get the job done. The Kangaroos, meanwhile, saw Hawthorn bring the fight to them as they were demolished and humiliated. However, this game against the Tigers will be a great chance to gain some respect back and with Waite, Hansen and McDonald back in the side, the Kangaroos look like the value of the week.
Western Bulldogs Vs. St Kilda Saints (Saturday, May 9 at 2:10pm AEST)
The feel-good story of the year that has the footy media beating their drums is the Western Bulldogs and everyone expects the wins to keep coming this weekend against the Saints. So do we.
Sometimes punting is as simple as going with the form and the Bulldogs have shown better form than any team in the comp. They are coming off beating one of the best teams in the league at their home ground and as long as they don’t let it go to their heads, there is no reason they cant keep the momentum going. The Saints will take solace in getting Reiwoldt and Montagna back in and will be happy to see Matthew Boyd and Lin Jong out of the Dogs side, but we still think the Dogs should get the win quite easily.
Line has blown out to 20.5 at some agencies, but hunt around and you can find just shy of three goals
Tip: Western Bulldogs at the line (-17.5) - $1.91 at Centrebet
GWS Giants Vs. Hawthorn Hawks (Saturday, May 9 at 4:35pm AEST)
Everyone was singing the praises of the GWS Giants two weeks ago and then received a reality check when they were smashed by the Eagles in Round 5. It will be interesting to see how they respond against the Hawks this week.
The fact this game is at Spotless Stadium might suit the Giants, but there is no reason to think they are any chance against the Hawks. And yes we are taking into account the Hawks will be without Jordan Lewis and Luke Hodge. The problem with this game is that we don’t know if the Hawks will blow it out of the water and so we will be avoiding the four to five goal line.
Tip: No Bet
Gold Coast Suns Vs. Adelaide Crows (Saturday, May 9 at 5:10pm AEST)
The Gold Coast Suns would have breathed a sigh of relief after their solid win against the Lions last week. Then the off-field controversies started during the week and it was back to panic stations. They go into this game against the Crows with no less than seven changes to their winning team last week. The Crows also have a few outs with Richard Douglas the biggest loss.
Being up at Metricon Stadium might help the Suns but with confidence likely at an all-time low despite their win last week and a decimated list, you sense the Crows could make easy work of this one. However, like the Hawks game, the line looks tough to battle with so we will be sitting this one out.
Tip: No Bet
Melbourne Demons Vs. Sydney Swans (Saturday, May 9 at 7:20pm AEST)
The Sydney Swans travel to the MCG on Saturday night on the back of a tough loss to the Western Bulldogs last week. The Demons, meanwhile, were demolished by the Dockers last week.
The bookmakers have set the line for this one at five goals and if the rain stays away that seems a bit generous. The Swans will be looking to bounce back strongly after last week and while the Demons will welcome back Chris Dawes, you get the sense they will come into this with their heads down and with one eye on another loss coming up when they meet Hawthorn next week.
Tip: Sydney Swans at the line (-29.5) - $1.92 at Ladbrokes
Fremantle Dockers Vs. Essendon Bombers (Saturday, May 9 at 6:10pm AWST)
The top of the ladder unbeaten Dockers look like a tough task in the West for Essendon this week. The Dockers lose Luke McPharlin to injury and the Bombers lose Dustin Fletcher.
This one is going to be all about the midfield and with Sandilands in dominating form it’s going to be hard for the Bombers to get the job done. The last time the two teams met the Dockers dominated the hit outs 62-14 and won by 53 points. Everything about the Dockers is working at the moment, while Essendon didn’t look amazing in their win against the Saints last week.
Tip: Fremantle at the line (-25.5) - $1.92 at Sportsbet
Carlton Blues Vs. Brisbane Lions (Sunday, May 10 at 3:20pm AEST)
The struggling Lions head to Etihad stadium to take on the also struggling Blues. These teams are ranked 17 and 18 on the ladder and desperately need a win to boost the confidence.
The Blues will be very happy to have Dale Thomas, Levi Casboult and Troy Menzel back in the side and will see this game as a chance to prove that aren’t the worst side in the league. However, the four goal line is too iffy to play with. Sure, the Lions are bad, but it’s too hard to know how bad at the moment. And we would never put our hard-earned on the Blues to win anything by four goals.
Tip: No Bet
Port Adelaide Power Vs. West Coast Eagles (Sunday, May 10 at 4:10pm ACST)
Sunday’s twilight game between the Power and the Eagles is another tough one to bet on with bookies setting the line towards five goals.
The Eagles come in after a confidence-building 87-point win over the Giants, while the Power were solid in their win over Adelaide by 24 points. After a big couple of weeks including beating Hawthorn it does look like the Power are back to their best, but there is no reason to think the Eagles will be push overs here. The upset the Crows at Adelaide Over last year and only lost by 14 points the last time they met the Power. Josh Kennedy has been named despite fears of an injury and if he plays then there seems to be some value with the Eagles at the line.
Tip: West Coast Eagles at the line (+31.5) - $1.92 at Sportsbet
Note: re-evaluate if Josh Kennedy is pulled out
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Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly. Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!
