Another big round is in the books with AFL Round 4 leaving three teams undefeated on top of the ladder - Hawthorn, Brisbane and Gold Coast who are the surprise packets so far this season after they got home against the Crows by a single point in the match of the round. It's getting desperate for Melbourne, Carlton and West Coast who are yet to taste victory, but at least one team will achieve that next week with the Blues and Eagles to play each other.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2025 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page and check out the latest Brownlow Odds.
2025 AFL Brownlow Round 4 Overview
It's going to be an exciting start to the 2025 Brownlow Medal count with a wide open leaderboard after Round 4. Freo young gun Caleb Serong is the big mover in the Brownlow betting markets after another best-on-ground performance. He has historically polled very well and could be a good to have on your side on Brownlow night. Jack Sinclair, Hugh McLuggage, Lachie Neale and Izak Rankine are other contenders to poll Brownlow votes in Round 4.
Check out our 2025 Round 4 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2025 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2025 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 4 Match Analysis
Collingwood 8.15.64 def Carlton 6.10.46
The Blues led at half-time for the fourth week in a row, but they are now in freefall at 0-4 as the Pies ran over the top of them in wet conditions. Lachie Schultz won the Richard Pratt Medal for his 18 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles and 2 goals. Darcy Cameron (22 disposals, 6 marks, 33 hitouts, 8 clearances), Steele Sidebottom (24 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances) and Josh Daicos (31 disposals) were also good for the Pies. George Hewett (29 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances, 2 goals) was best for Carlton.
Lachie Schultz - 3
Darcy Cameron - 2
George Hewett - 0.5
Josh Daicos - 0.5
Geelong 12.13.85 def Melbourne 6.10.46
It’s also desperate times at Melbourne who are winless in 2025 with the Cats winning comfortably. Patrick Dangerfield was back to his best with 20 disposals, 6 marks and 3 goals, with good support from Zach Guthrie (30 disposals, 17 marks), Bailey Smith (28 disposals, 7 marks, 8 tackles) and Oliver Dempsey (26 disposals, 8 marks). Max Gawn (15 disposals, 34 hitouts), Steven May (27 disposals, 10 marks) and Clayton Oliver (30 disposals, 9 clearances) could hold their heads up for the Dees.
Patrick Dangerfield - 3
Zach Guthrie - 2
Steven May - 0.5
Bailey Smith - 0.5
Gold Coast 13.13.91 def Adelaide 14.6.90
It was billed as the game of the round and it lived up to the hype with the Suns holding on against the Crows by a single point. Daniel Rioli (26 disposals, 6 marks, 6 tackles), Sam Flanders (26 disposals, 8 marks) and Noah Anderson (24 disposals, 6 clearances) were best for the Suns. However it was Riley Thilthorpe who was the most influential player on the ground with 5 goals, 16 disposals and 9 hitouts. Jordan Dawson (31 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances) and Izak Rankine (21 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances) were also good for Adelaide.
Riley Thilthorpe - 3
Daniel Rioli - 2
Izak Rankine - 1
Richmond 13.12.90 def by Brisbane 18.10.118
Richmond were competitive against the reigning premiers but the Lions got the comfortable win. The Lions’ ball winners were relentless with Hugh McLuggage (26 disposals, 6 marks, 12 tackles, 6 clearances, 2 goals), Lachie Neale (42 disposals, 7 clearances), Will Ashcroft (24 disposals, 2 goals) and Josh Dunkley (30 disposals, 10 tackles, 8 clearances) all very busy. Tim Taranto (29 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) was good for Richmond.
Hugh McLuggage - 2.5
Lachie Neale - 2.5
Will Ashcroft - 1
North Melbourne 8.4.52 def by Sydney 18.9.117
The Roos have come crashing back to Earth with Sydney recording a big win despite missing a number of key players. Will Hayward was the star with 4 goals from 15 disposals and 6 marks for the Swans. Youngster Riley Bice (26 disposals, 15 marks) and Jake Lloyd (24 disposals, 12 marks) were also good. The Roos over-possessed the ball to flatter their stats but Harry Sheezel (34 disposals, 9 marks) and Luke Parker (27 disposals, 8 tackles, 2 goals) were good.
Will Hayward - 3
Riley Bice - 2
Harry Sheezel - 1
GWS Giants 20.12.132 def West Coast 7.9.51
The Giants mauled the Eagles with Jesse Hogan bagging a massive 9 goals from 12 disposals and 10 marks in an awesome display. Darcy Jones (24 disposals, 6 marks, 7 tackles, 2 goals), Tom Green (37 disposals, 7 clearances, 2 goals), Toby Greene (24 disposals, 7 marks, 3 goals) and Lachie Whitfield (35 disposals, 10 marks) were all excellent as the orange tsunami completely dominated.
Jesse Hogan - 3
Darcy Jones - 2
Tom Green - 1
Port Adelaide 10.12.72 def by St Kilda 13.11.89
The Saints caused the upset of the round with a fantastic away win over Port. Jack Sinclair (25 disposals, 1 goal), Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (25 disposals, 1 goal) and Jack Macrae (28 disposals, 9 clearances) led the way for the Saints. Jason Horne-Francis tried his best to carry the Power home with 28 disposals, 6 marks, 6 tackles, 6 clearances and 3 goals to arguably be best afield. Miles Bergman (26 disposals, 9 marks) and Mitch Georgiades (14 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) were also good for Port.
Jason Horne-Francis - 3
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera - 1
Jack Sinclair - 1
Mitch Georgiades - 1
Fremantle 15.7.97 def Western Bulldogs 12.9.81
The Dockers were wounded but held on late to get an important win against the Dogs to level the season for both teams. Caleb Serong is the big shortener in the Brownlow odds markets this week after back-to-back best afield performances with 38 disposals, 7 tackles and 15 clearances against the Dogs. Andrew Brayshaw (29 disposals, 9 tackles, 1 goal) and Josh Tracey (15 disposals, 8 marks, 3 goals) were also excellent for Freo. Sam Darcy was immense for the Dogs with 21 disposals, 11 marks and 5 goals.
Caleb Serong - 3
Sam Darcy - 2
Andrew Brayshaw - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
