Round 4 of the 2025 AFL season continues on Saturday afternoon as the Tigers host the Lions at the MCG from 4:15pm AEDT. It’s expected to be the most one-sided fixture of the weekend, but we’ve still managed to find some solid value in the markets. Check out our preview and betting tips for the clash below.
Also, Before You Bet will be providing free previews and betting tips for EVERY game in the 2025 AFL season, so make sure to head over to our AFL Tips regularly to keep up to date with all of our free content.
Richmond vs Brisbane
Location: MCG
Date: Saturday 5th April
Time: 4:15pm (AEDT)
Odds: Richmond ($9.25) vs Brisbane ($1.05)
Line: Brisbane -47.5
Total: 176.5
Odds and lines provided with thanks to Dabble. Note that odds and lines can fluctuate throughout the week, and are correct at the time of writing.
Match Preview
Brisbane has been in outstanding form in 2025, winning their opening three matches convincingly. Their midfield, led by Lachie Neale and Will Ashcroft, has been dominant, while their forward line continues to capitalize on their supply. The Lions have a 95% chance of winning according to predictive models, and bookmakers have them as strong favorites at $1.06, with Richmond a distant $9.50.
Brisbane welcomes back Oscar McInerney, boosting their ruck stocks against a Tigers side that has struggled in stoppages. Will McLachlan also comes into the side, while Kai Lohmann misses out due to injury.
The Tigers, on the other hand, have had a challenging start to the season despite upsetting the Blues in Round 1. They’ve been inconsistent in both their attack and defensive setups, which has led to disappointing results so far. They have been comfortably handled by Port Adelaide and St Kilda over the last two weeks, losing by an average margin of 74 points.
The Tigers will make just the one change to their side, with Rhyan Mansell set to miss after being suspended for an incident with St Kilda player Liam O’Connell last week. Sam Banks will make his way back into the team.
The Tigers will be hoping that the MCG home crowd can work in their favour here, but that’s about the only positive I can see for them in this one. The Lions are 3-0 and have barely broken out of 2nd gear this season so they should handle the Tigers quite comfortably. I’m surprised this line is only at 47.5 at the moment. I expected it to be higher after the Tigers have been smashed by lesser teams than Brisbane over the past two weeks. Back the Lions to cover the line.
Brisbane -47.5
$1.90 (2.5 Units)
Same Game Multi
Throughout the 2025 AFL season we’ll be putting together a fun same game multi for every match at BoomBet using their BetShare feature.
To follow our multi, just click on the BoomBet BetShare button below and our same game multi selections will be added straight into your bet slip on BoomBet. You can then enter how much you wish to wager, and with a single click, your bet has been placed!
Total Points Over 171.5 - Richmond have been by far the leakiest defence in the league throughout the early parts of the season. Allowing monster scores to the Power and Saints in their last two games. They have conceded 123.3 per game this season and the last two meetings between these two teams have produced 180+.
Charlie Cameron 2+ Goals - Cameron played his first game of the season last week against the Cats and booted a goal in the win. Think the Lions pile on the points here so I expect him to feast as he usually does against the lesser teams. He had eight scoring shots and kicked 3-5 in the 119 point win over the Tigers last season.
Lachie Neale 25+ Disposals - Mixed form throughout the 2025 season so far but I think he gets into his groove here in what should be a big win. 35 against the Eagles a few weeks ago and last time he played the Tigers, he had 36.
SGM Odds: $2.63 at BoomBet
