It’s a massive day of racing in Melbourne this Saturday with Turnbull Stakes Day taking centre stage. This card at Rosehill is a solid support for that meeting and should make for exciting racing with plenty of opportunities to build the bank heading into some huge meetings in the next few weeks.
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Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, October 7th 2023
Race 1: Highway C3 Hcp – 1500m (11:40 AEDT)
(1) Chase My Crown can beat Atmospheric Rock in this race and won’t meet much other competition from the look of this field. She’s drawn neatly in gate 2 to get a super run after finishing 4th when strung up in a bm78 and 4th level with Atmospheric Rock 1st up.
(11) Atmospheric Rock can’t be deserving of this price having missed on all 3 occasions so far this prep at similar short prices. Maybe with a better draw or some speed on the map he’d be the top hope but he’s risky at that price in this field.
(17) The Coat Hanger will be the horse that benefits here from an apparent lack of early speed and pressure in this race. She sat outside the leader last time but can find the rail here and be in it a long way.
No Tip
Race 2: Midway Bm72 Hcp – 1400m (12:15 AEDT)
(18) Miss Couver is drawn well in gate 2 and if you ignore her poor performance last start she’s worth having a look at here. 2nd to Tropical Squall prior reads well now with that horse going on to Group 1 glory.
(11) Satness is drawn barrier 1 after winning in similar company last start. Can lead or sit leader’s back from that draw and should go close to winning back-to-back.
(2) Peace Officer is yet to put a foot wrong this prep and won nicely from back in the field last start in this company. Harder here in a bigger field and wider draw but can’t be ignored completely.
(18) Miss Couver - E/W
$13/$4 (1 Unit)
Race 3: Bm88 Hcp – 2000m (12:50 AEDT)
(4) Gan Teorainn is on top here after being tipped last start and putting in a solid performance without winning. She’s a better price now too against similar opposition.
(1) Mission Phoenix is drawn perfectly again to run well. He was held up for a run last time and finished 2nd to Straight Acer. Can win with more luck
(8) Pierossa brings Marquess and Howgoodareyou form into the race. Gets down in weight here and has come up very short in the market given her recent double figure quotes.
No Tip
Race 4: Bm78 Hcp – 1100m (13:25 AEDT)
*SCRATCHED* (7) Xtravagant Star is hard to go past here having blitzed her rivals in a bm78 last start including Smashing Eagle who ran 2nd. That form reads well and can see this horse win back-to-back races here without too much difficulty.
(6) Mabel will get a solid run on the rail from gate 1 here. She’s stepping up in grade but should fit in here with Waverider Buoy form reading well.
(4) Way To The Stars could perform well here but has a task ahead of him on the speed map with plenty of leaders and front-runners drawn inside him. If he can solve that problem he’s in this a long way.
Race 5: Group 2 Roman Consul Stakes – 1200m (14:00 AEDT)
(3) Ozzmosis should be able to rinse and repeat here having beaten most of his competition comfortably last start. King’s Gambit was solid down the Flemington straight but needs to improve to beat Ozzmosis and looks the only realistic threat.
(1) King’s Gambit as mentioned is the only threat to the favourite here presenting with different form lines and performing well last prep in the Golden Slipper.
(5) Celestial Legend ran 2nd to the favourite in the Heritage which was the main lead up. It follows that he’s the main danger out of that race here.
(3) Ozzmosis - Win
$2.55 (2 Units)
Race 6: Tapp-Craig – 1400m (14:35 AEDT)
(1) Encap is the testing material here. He comes up against a field of unproven horses after winning the G3 Ming Dynasty and running 2nd in the G1 Golden Rose. No horse in this field has form even close to that so Encap will be hard to topple.
(13) Makarena is the personal favourite of mine coming up in grade here to tackle the big races. She’s drawn well and her maiden win last start was worth following.
(7) Ducasse wasn’t ignored in betting in consecutive group 3 performances where he didn’t finish far away.
(1) Encap - Win
$2.15 (3 Units)
Race 7: Group 2 Hill Stakes – 1900m (15:10 AEDT)
(6) Protagonist outperformed Montefilia last start where he drew wide, jumped well, went back to last and weaved between horses to finish on level terms with Montefilia who had a dream run on the rail.
(11) Montefilia as mentioned had the perfect run last start but couldn’t capitalise finishing 3rd. She’s set to get a similar run but Protagonist looks to have her measure on their latest meeting.
(3) Young Werther is flying and will look to continue that form here. He’s drawn wide but should look to get back and follow a few horses into the straight in the 3-wide running line.
(6) Protagonist - E/W
$7.50/$2.60 (1 Unit)
Race 8: Alan Brown Stakes – 1400m (15:45 AEDT)
(12) Waterford is hard to go past here having run 2nd to Cepheus from a wide barrier and now getting a better draw with a big weight swing in his favour.
(1) Cepheus has the winning form so goes in for 2nd here although this will be harder with more weight.
(16) Olentia is a mare I have a soft spot for and I suspect she’s capable of measuring up in this grade. She may just need a better set up than barrier 15 but she’s not out of it completely.
No Tip
Race 9: Group 3 The Nivision – 1200m (16:25 AEDT)
(5) Magic Time should be favourite here. She has huge upside and was solid 1st up when wide all the way. Wide draw yet again but if she finds a position she can give a good sight.
(3) Parisal hasn’t run a bad race and probably won’t this time. Problem for her is she’s drawn the carpark so looks completely hopeless on the speedmap.
(4) Queen Of The Ball is the only leader and is drawn well here. She can assume control of the race which might allow her to dictate and kick strongly in the straight.
No Tip
Race 10: Bm78 Hcp – 1300m (17:05 AEDT)
(4) Diamond Dealer is capable of improving here after running 4th in Group 3 and Group 2 company in her last 2 races. Look for her to settle handy on the inside and sneak inside runs late in the straight.
(2) Kayobi is deservedly favourite here but is difficult to trust having not won in some time and seemingly lacking conviction other horses have shown. Form reads well though and drops in grade for this.
(17) Boldinho is up in grade but is a talented horse. I’ve suspected this horse would be capable of winning some tougher races than bm64 races in Melbourne and he gets a crack at that today.
No Tip
