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Top Chances for Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup in 2022

September 16th 2022, 11:16am, By: Brendan Bunworth

Melbourne Cup

The Spring racing season is starting to heat up with Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup runners in the middle of their preparations for their 2022 Spring carnival campaigns.

With so much data for punters to analyse now, Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup winners can often be found in the top 10 in the early betting markets at this time of year, so it’s a good time to go shopping and find some value. Let’s take a closer look at the fancied runners for the big Spring races in Melbourne and check on their progress leading into the big ones.

The chief handicapper has released the weights for the Cups so that will play a key factor in the markets. Spanish Mission will wear the number one saddlecloth if he runs in the races.

* Odds correct as of 15th September

 

2022 Caulfield Cup (October 15)

1. Duais (55.5kg) - Will take on Anamoe in Sydney before heading to Melbourne in a couple of weeks. Has been the Caulfield Cup favourite for three months. $7.00 at Ladbrokes

2. Inspirational Girl - Former WA horse who has settled in well for Melbourne Cup winning trainer Danny O’Brien. Winner of 10 from 18. $9.00 at Ladbrokes

3. Montefelia (55.5kg) - David Payne (trainer) is very happy with her and has also nominated her for the Cox Plate. $15.00 at Ladbrokes

4. Benaud (53kg) - Well weighted Sydneysider who placed in the Australian Derby. Has been kept quiet. $15.00 at TAB

5. Mr. Brightside (56.5kg) - In immaculate form and winner of the Doncaster Mile and Feehan Stakes. May also run in the Cox Plate. $21.00 at Ladbrokes

6. Surefire (50.5kg) - Hasn't raced since February for the Waller stable. Did place in the Queensland Cup. $17.00 at Neds

7. Knights Order (55.5kg) - Front runner who won the Sydney Cup. $17.00 at Ladbrokes

8. Nonconformist (54.5kg) - Graheme Begg (trainer) says this race is the main target. $15.00 at TAB

9. Numerian (55.5kg) - Annabel Neesham trained horse who did win the Q22 for Tommy Berry. Berry wants to stay on. $15.00 at Neds

10. Spanish Mission (58kg) - Has been given the top weight for the Caulfield Cup and early reports are that the 3200m is the key target. $26.00 at Ladbrokes

 

2022 Melbourne Cup (November 1)

1. Deauville Legend (55kg) - $9.00 at Bet365

2. Duais (55.5kg) - $15.00 at Bet365

3. Loft (55.5kg) - $15.00 at TAB

4. Spanish Mission - Has been given the top weight in the race that stops the nation for Peter Moody. Finished third in the Melbourne Cup last year with 57kg and from all reports he is flying. $17.00 at TAB

5. Hoo Ya Mal (55.5kg) - Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott training now after the horse put in a poor month of racing in England. $18.00 at TAB

6. Camorra (55.5kg) - Sold to Australia with the Melbourne Cup the sole aim for new owners. Team Hayes takes on the responsibility. $18.00 at Bet365

7. Young Werther (54kg) - Big run when resuming for Danny O’Brien with 61kg on his back at Flemington. $26.00 at Neds

8. Eldar Eldarov (54.5kg) - St Leger winner who will do more racing in England or France before coming to Australia. $18.00 at TAB

9. Algeron (53kg) - Cummings runner and the stable is confident he will be strong to the line if all goes well and he races in the big one. $26.00 at Bet365

10. Point Nepean (51kg) - Rob Hickmott trained galloper who resumed but wasn't fit enough at Moonee Valley last week. $26.00 at TAB

11. Montefelia (55.5kg) - The mare has been doing most of her racing in NSW and will be coming over to Melbourne in three weeks. $26.00 at TAB

12. Interpretation (55.5kg) - Irish stayer who has won over 2800m at home. $26.00 at TAB

 

TAB

Brendan is a qualified Journalist, formerly with the Hamilton Spectator, but has over 10 years of experience as a sports and racing analyst, including a stint with TheDogs.com.au, as well as framing betting markets for corporate bookmakers. He specialises in thoroughbred, greyhound and harness racing, as well as Cricket and AFL.

Brendan is now based in Melbourne after moving from country Victoria in 2022 and has tried his luck in greyhound ownership but now focuses more on horse racing.

His bets of choice include quaddies, all-up placing/win bets and he's a big contributor to our Lay of the Day pieces. Brendan is also a passionate supporter of Tottenham (EPL) and Richmond (AFL) sporting teams.

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