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NBL Round 4 Betting Tips
Illawarra Hawks vs S.E. Melbourne Phoenix
Thursday 7:30pm AEDT, WIN Entertainment Centre
The Hawks made an impressive start to their campaign with wins in each of their first three games. However, they stumbled on the road in their last start in a four-point defeat against the Bullets who will be sure to ruffle a few feathers this season. Now at 3-1 and third in the standings, the Hawks would have to be pleased with how their first block of games have gone, especially when you consider superstar guard Tyler Harvey is yet to truly find his range.
The Phoenix entered the season as the favourites to win it all and they haven’t done too much wrong to disappoint favourite punters so far. They too won each of their first three games, but stumbled last start on the road against a Kings outfit that was desperate to bounce back from a humiliating defeat. Still, Phoenix fans would be in a happy place knowing their team is full of star quality and currently sit second in the standings.
What a fantastic contest we have on our hands to open an exciting Round 4 of this fantastic competition. Both teams come into this contest at 3-1 and off last start losses on the road, which means motivation levels will be high as they search to get back on the winners list. With the naked eye purely looking at stats it’s hard to split the two, but after watching all of the games to date we can confidently say that the Hawks are the better drilled team and are the deserving favourites in their first clash with the Phoenix. We’re happy to back them into cover the small spread in what should be a quality contest.
Illawarra Hawks -2.5
$1.90
Tasmania JackJumpers vs New Zealand Breakers
Sunday 1pm AEDT, MyState Bank Arena
The JackJumpers started their inaugural campaign with a gritty overtime win against the Bullets, but it’s been all downhill from there. Most recently they managed to score just 22 points in the second half against the Kings, eventually losing by 12 points. That was their fourth loss on the spin and their second in a row by at least a dozen points.
The Breakers entered the season as a potential dark horse for the title, but we haven’t seen anywhere near that level of standard through five games. Admittedly, they’ve had a horror run with Covid and injury implications, but a 0-5 start is still poor no matter the circumstances. Most recently the Breakers put up just 60 points in their 23-point road loss against Melbourne United.
Very tough game to call here as both clubs come into this clash on big losing streaks. The JackJumpers have homecourt advantage and have put up decent performances in both of their home games to date, but the lack of firepower they possess has been evident all season long and will make it very difficult for them to chalk up wins. With that said, we’ll be backing in the more talented Breakers to secure their first win and cover the spread in the process.
New Zealand Breakers -3.5
$1.95
Sydney Kings vs Melbourne United
Sunday 3pm AEDT, Qudos Bank Arena
The Kings bounced back beautifully from their embarrassing loss against United when recording back-to-back home wins against the Phoenix and the JackJumpers to close out Round 3. Their defence was the standout improvement in their last two games where they kept their opposition to 73 and 71 points. The Kings are now 3-2 on the season and look a team to watch out for when push comes to shove.
Melbourne United put a poor 0-2 start behind them with very impressive wins against the Kings and the Breakers in Round 3. They won those two games by a combined 65 points, which is something you just don’t see in the very competitive NBL. Defence is obviously where United will hang their hat on this season, because it’s fairly obvious they don’t have a whole lot of firepower on offence this campaign.
These teams met only 10 days ago in what was arguably the most one-sided game in NBL history. We certainly can’t see anything like that happening again this time around, particularly in Sydney where the Kings are 3-1 so far this season. Interestingly, the total points line has been set at a huge 169.5 points, which makes absolutely no sense in our opinion when you consider both of these teams are defensive first, coupled with the fact their last meeting finished with a total of just 136. We’ll be happily backing the unders here.
