Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Tuesday, August 13th.
Gosford and Ballarat Synthetic are the two venues in focus this afternoon and Luke Krahe has provided his best bets for each track below.
Horse Racing Tips: Tuesday, August 13th
Gosford Race 5 (Market)
Our first selection at Gosford is also the first leg of the Quaddie. The John Sargent trained gelding (5) Home Scene is a new addition to the stable, he was formerly with the Waller yard. I like horses that go from big stables like that to a notable city trainer without as many horses in work. He resumed at Gosford last start and showed speed, a trait that can’t be underestimated around this small track. He was run down but will be better for the run, gets the blinkers on again and should be able to cross and lead or at least be on the pace for a long way. The favourite is likely to be the resuming (7) Appian Way. She is an ex-Weir runner that hasn’t been seen since his outing and is having her first start in more than a year. She has trialed well, happy to see how she has come back though before diving into a silly price with her. In saying that, if playing the Quadrella she is a must include as she may just be better than them.
Gosford Race 7 (Market)
If you have played wider in the first two legs of the Quad, stand this guy out! (10) Street Scream debuted up the road at Wyong three weeks ago, a similar track to Gosford that has a long back straight sweeping into a short run home. He showed good tactical speed to lead on debut, kicked hard to bolt in and give nothing else a chance with some nice late sectionals. He has the inside gate here which can be a little tricky, but with Nash taking the ride, expect that he will get him out well, boot through and lead all the way again. This is obviously harder but he will go through the grades nicely, he was heavily backed on debut after some nice trials and expect that he won’t be starting black figures here.
Ballarat Race 3 (Market)
The form guide will show that (8) Aandenking was beaten a long way on debut, although she placed, she was big odds and the margin was officially more than 5 lengths. She carried the 58 kg that day under the set weight conditions, she showed speed to lead from a similar gate but her condition may have given way late. It is very hard to debut straight at the 1400m, especially on these tricky synthetic tracks. She showed enough speed that she can cross from the middle gate, with that run under her belt and staying at the 1400m, I expect her to stick on a lot better today and run it out. At the double figure odds, she looks a great each-way bet. If you would rather just back her straight out and save on another runner, (9) Gatsby’s Girl should be the one. She debuted at Echuca and was well in the market, settled behind the speed and stuck on ok in what has become a good form reference. Stepping up in trip, she should get that same run behind the leader and only needs even luck off the inside gate.
Ballarat Race 5 (Market)
(2) Rupture is officially fourth up from a spell here, but resuming he didn’t leave the gates and took no part so we can hardly call that a run! He was then having his first go on a synthetic track here in late June, had a soft run before bullocking into the clear and running away for a soft win. Last time at Sandown he looked a little flat and may have been outclassed, dropping back from 78 grade to 64 looks ideal. He obviously has to carry the big weight but the key is getting back on a surface he seemed to thrive on, I am firmly of the belief that a liking for the synthetic far outweighs the burden of the weight. Hopefully he is ridden positively from the wide gate, with cover behind the speed he should be able to run over the top I the last furlong.
