An 11-game slate for week 14, with seven early window and four late window games. There has been talk of inclement weather for this week’s games, however the closer we have got to game time, the better the forecast. This is great news for fantasy, with better weather meaning more points. The highlight of the early window will be the Ravens vs Rams clash, however with weather predicted, it’s probably a game to steer clear of. In the late window, the Bills travel to KC to take on the Chiefs, in the highlight of this 11-game slate.
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NFL 2023-24 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 14
Quarterbacks
Josh Allen - $17,680
Josh Allen and the Bills are coming fresh off the bye and face a must-win clash against the Chiefs this week. Allen, despite the Bills underperforming this season, has been an absolute God in fantasy. He leads all quarterbacks in fantasy points per game and has looked even more accomplished since Joe Brady took over as Offensive Co-ordinator. Since week 11, Allen ranks 3rd in fantasy points per dropback, fifth in hero throw rate, 11th in yards per attempt, and 15th in turnover-worthy throw rate. This is a far cry from his early season form, and Allen should continue his hot form against a Chiefs defence that has been slipping.
Justin Fields - $14,470
Fields has continued to be a fantasy stud this season when healthy, and this week he gets to take on a Lions defence that has been shredded recently. Fields and the Bears took on the Vikings just two weeks ago, with Fields scoring 24 fantasy points, despite just the one touchdown. Whilst Fields’ throwing of the football can be a little up and down, his rushing numbers always push him into the QB1 conversation. He gets a great matchup against the Lions, who since week 6 have allowed the sixth-highest yards per attempt, fourth-highest passer rating, and seventh-highest completion percentage over expectation. If the wind and rain hold off, look for another big score here for Fields.
Running Backs
Christian McCaffrey - $18,730
This is a little bit of a low hanging fruit selection, however it’s hard not to jump on the CMC train this week. McCaffrey and the 49ers took on the Seahawks two weeks ago, where McCaffrey absolutely shredded this Seahawks defence. CMC had 114 yards rushing and two touchdowns, to go along with 25 yards receiving. He should once again kill this defence, who since week 8 have allowed the highest yards after contact per attempt, fifth-highest explosive run rate, and sixth-most missed tackles per attempt. McCaffrey’s usage hasn’t waned, as he ranks first in redzone touches, second in snap share and weighted opportunity, and fourth in opportunity share. RB1.
Zack Moss - $12,200
Whilst Moss didn’t quite work out last week, I feel he is still underpriced here in week 14. A huge reason for this was Moss’ usage last week, as he played 94% of the total offensive snaps for the Colts. This week, Moss gets to take on a Bengals defence that has allowed the sixth-most points per game to running backs, and they have been getting worse. Since week 8, they have allowed the seventh-most missed tackles per attempt, eighth-highest explosive run rate, and seventh-highest yards per carry to zone runs, of which Moss runs at 80%. With match fitness back, look for Moss to eat this week.
Chuba Hubbard - $9,700
It’s very rare that we talk about Carolina Panthers offensive players here, but Hubbard has quietly taken over the backfield for the Panthers. In the past two weeks, Hubbard has 196 all-purpose yards and three rushing touchdowns. This week he gets to take on a Saints’ run defence that has struggled since week 8, allowing the highest-yards per carry to zone runs, second-highest yards after contact per attempt, and seventh-highest explosive run rate. Whilst without the touchdowns Hubbard may only be a low-ish RB2, if he can manage another score, he bounces straight up to a low-end RB1, at under $10k.
Wide Receivers
Michael Pittman - $12,840
We are going with some cheaper options this week, and Pittman is a great choice as a cut-price WR1. We wrote about Pittman last week, as he has been getting fed of late by Gardner Minshew. Over his past 5 games, Pittman has been targeted 62 times, hauling in 45 receptions. He can get you a solid WR1 score purely on volume, and if he can somehow once again manage a touchdown, he’s straight up into top 5 wide receiver range.
DJ Moore - $12,020
DJ Moore has shown this season that he has the highest of ceilings at wide receiver, and at WR2 money, this week he could have another huge performance. He gets a great matchup here against the Lions, who since week 8 have the ninth-highest rate of single-high coverage. Against single-high, Moore commands a 25.4% target share, 40.1% air-yard share, 37.2% first read share, and 2.88 yards per route run. Moore ranks 21st in the league at fantasy points per route run against single-high, and after scoring 22.6 points two weeks ago against this secondary, expect another big performance from Moore.
Rashee Rice - $8,800
Rashee Rice has taken over as the WR1 in this Chiefs offense, and he gets a good opportunity at another solid fantasy score against a weak Bills secondary this week. In the past two weeks, Rice has garnered a 28.4% target share, 3.42 yards per route run, and a 34.1% first-read share. Rice will be targeted heavily, as the Bills run a predominately two-high coverage, which Rice has shown to dominate. The price is right on Rice, with the Chiefs and Bills likely to be involved in a shootout, expect Rice to put up solid WR2 numbers here.
Tight Ends
Cole Kmet - $7,760
A little bit of a Bears stack here could be worth a look, as the Lions defence has been kind to opposing teams in fantasy of late. Whilst Kmet is somewhat of a boom/bust option at tight end, this week he has a great chance at the boom. The Lions have allowed the third-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends, and the ninth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. Kmet did flame out in their previous meeting, however, he has a high upside at the tight end position this week, and if you’re looking to stack, this could prove profitable.
Tanner Hudson - $5,000
Hudson is a cut-price option at tight end to save money for some bigger names elsewhere. Hudson has shown himself to be a reliable option for Jake Browning, and even Joe Burrow before he was injured, averaging 4.5 receptions per game over his past 5 matchups. Whilst he doesn’t have any touchdowns this season, his consistency is tremendous for this price, with scores between 5.8 and 9.3 over his past 5 games. The Colts have struggled against tight ends, conceding the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.
D/ST
Indianapolis Colts - $6,170
We’re going to keep riding these Colts D/ST units until something changes, as they continue to dominate matchups. Last week, the Colts D/ST unit managed 17 points, despite conceding a whopping 28 points to the Titans. They managed this with a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, two fumble recoveries and six sacks. With the Bengals offensive line struggling all season, expect this Colts defence to be pressuring Browning all day. Averaging 17.5 points over the past 4 games, let’s ride the hot hand again.
Denver Broncos - $4,710
The Broncos defence is still underrated by market, and this week they get to take on a Chargers offense that is still wildly overrated by market. Whilst the Broncos have had some great turnover luck lately, you make your own luck, and I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see the Broncos defence manage some turnovers in this matchup. Boom or bust option this week as a D/ST, however at this price it’s not a bad punt to take.
Suggested Draftstars Lineup
