Horse racing action for Saturday November 28th as we head to Moonee Valley and Rosehill in the Eastern states, before the Winterbottom at Ascot in Perth caps off another big day of racing. The Horse is back with his best bets from around the country for you below.
Of course, if you're looking for more racing tips from every race on the card, then check out our analysis, betting tools and odds comparisons over at RacingBet!
Moonee Valley Race 8
The Carlyon stakes has a handy little field. There are a few that are coming back from a break - like (5) Prezado and (6) Royal Witness - and a few who are well into their preparation like (2) Coruscate and (11) Seemingly Discreeet. The huge question will be around how the track is playing – should we expect the Moonee Valley monorail or will the back-markers get their chance?
(1) Sartorial Splendour came back from a spell to win first-up in a bm84 at this track over the 955 metres. The Brazen Beau gelding should jump well and look for the lead. He’ll try to kick on the turn and sneak away with the prize. At the good odds of $9.50 – pending how the track plays - could turn out to be a good bet.
Prezado comes back from a spell where he finished the campaign with three wins and a second all in open company. He is a good horse but has not won first-up nor at the Valley. He is also a get-back horse – so his best won’t be at this track. Pretty keen to see how he has returned before launching. While Royal Witness returns after a similar break and also finished last campaign with a couple of solid runs. Similarly, he does not win first-up and has not won at the Valley. Taking a set against him too.
Seemingly Discreet keeps racing well – winning at bm78 grade last start. He should give a pretty good sight up-front and be looking for the sit alongside Sartorial Splendour. If the on-pace horses are winning he will come right into contention. He does meet some tougher company here today, none more so than Coruscate who has been competing in Group and Listed races. He has been racing well this preparation, comes in with match fitness, has Damian Oliver in the saddle and should get every chance. He is the class runner in the field and can be winning this with even luck and a fair track bias. The Soft going will not be an issue for him and he looks, at the current price, to be one of the best bets on the program.
Rosehill Race 5
(1) Oakfield Twilight will get the jump and attempt to lead this field over the 1100 metres. He actually drops back slightly in grade here to how he finished last preparation but doesn’t fire first-up, hence the huge odds of around $51. We can expect him to be to be vulnerable once they turn the corner. (10) Miss Fox has been racing well in country meetings (Wyong) and comes into this as its greatest test so far. Six starts for four wins! Might measure up but hard to have at this grade.
This race sets up nicely for (12) Lady Banff who has won two from two first-up over this pet distance. We an expect a confident showing here today. James McDonald should be giving the filly every chance and she remains the number one threat to the top selection. That is (7) Plaquette who has been pretty unlucky not to have won a few in a row placing 0.6 length behind Leiter in a bm80 race and second by 0.2 length behind Blazing Miss in a bm78. Prior to that he won at Randwick. She looks to have an easier field to contend with today – dropping back in grade – and can notch a win. Saving with a quinella as the top two look clear picks.
Quinella: (7) Plaquette & (12) Lady Banff
Ascot Race 9 – The Winterbottom
The WFA Group 1 out West is headed by the fantastic Cummings (Godolphin) trained gelding (1) Trekking. She is the clear favourite for the race after placing second to Pippie (Group 1), fourth to Classique Legend in the Everest, and second to Hey Doc (Group 1). That’s the premium form and she is simply the best horse in the race. No surprises to see William Pike get the ride which can only boost her chances. She won a Belmont jump-out coming into this and will handle the track without too much fuss. It is a big field and there are some great WA runners to contend with but she remains one of the better bets on the program and is likely to drift in the market once the local money starts coming in.
(13) Elite Street is racing well and can step up to this next level – but it is a tough ask. (12) Indian Pacific may be a threat with some great statistics starting to build up. A third in Group 3 company behind (16) Celebrity Queen is good form. Speaking of – the William’s trained Redoute’s Choice mare is the one Trekking needs to be down the outside of the track. She is racing in fine form and the stable absolutely own these WA events. Ten starts for six wins, this is clearly her biggest test.
