UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Rodriguez Betting Tips

October 7th 2021, 11:48pm, By: Ben Talintyre

UFC Fight Night Betting Tips

The UFC Women’s Flyweight’s most decorated jiu jitsu artist takes on one of the most feared strikers in this weekend's UFC Fight Night main event. It's Mackenzie Dern against Marina Rodriguez in what should be a cracking match up. In the co-main Randy Brown and Jared Gordon face off and young rising star Mariya Agapova looks to bounce back from her shock defeat last time out when she meets fellow 24-year-old Sabina Mazo. We take a look at the UFC Fight Night card and there is plenty of value to be had. Check out our UFC betting tips below!

UFC Fight Night Betting Tips

Mackenzie Dern vs Marina Rodriguez

Quite frankly I believe this fight will be decided one way or another by midway through round 2. As a lover of all things jiu jitsu, I have followed Dern’s career before her MMA escapade. Dern is on a four-fight win streak, with three of those four wins coming by first round submission. 

Her opponent, Marina Rodriguez, is looking increasingly impressive over the past year, winning her last two fights over Michelle Waterson and more recently, a complete domination over hot prospect Amanda Ribas. While I can definitely see improvements in Dern’s striking, she is still well of that of Rodriguez.

Simply put, if Dern gets this to the mat in the first or second round she should win. Otherwise, she is going to be walking into strikes and will eventually be put away. Therefore, I am going to recommend two bets on this fight to cover both outcomes I see occurring. The first bet will be Rodriguez to win by knockout. Rodriguez has a takedown defense of just over 60% and can keep up a wicked pace. If she stuffs Dern early, she can tee off on her Brazilian counterpart as she wears and put her away. The second play is a saver on Dern by round 1 submission. She has won 3 of her last 4 that way and her grappling credentials are as good as it gets. If it gets to the mat early and Dern has a couple of minutes to work, I expect her to catch an arm and put Rodriguez away. 


Marina Rodriguez by KO/TKO

BET NOW AT Sportsbet

ALSO: Dern by Rd 1 Submission ($6.00 at Sportsbet)

Charlie Ontiveros vs Steve Garcia

This is a pure striking fight and I absolutely love what the UFC matchmakers have put together here. It is as simple as, let’s put two massive Lightweights in a small Octagon cage with limited grappling skills and watch fireworks. 

Ontiveros will look like the bigger man but he has serious durability issues that make this a horror match up. I truly see Ontiveros charging at Garcia before trying to land a one-shot knockout. However, I envisage that plan backfires as I see a round 1 knockout for Steve Garcia here as I just see him folding Ontiveros inside the opening minutes, in a display to likely earn himself a post-fight bonus. 

Alexandr Romanov vs Jared Vanderaa

When I first caught a glimpse of Alexandr Romanov, I thought this is a man that will run through the Heavyweight division. He is a massive man, who is almighty strong and has wrestling and submission skills. He is a perfect 14-0 with 13 stoppage wins, 9 by the way of submission. His opponent Jared Vanderaa is a mediocre Heavyweight. He will however, have the advantage on the feet as he does have somewhat underrated kickboxing and cardio. 

Unfortunately for Vanderaa, his takedown defense is not up to standard and Romanov should take him down and suffocate him before long, literally. I do see top control ground and pound as the likely route to victory for Romanov but I would prefer the safer route of him getting a round 1 finish as his submission skills are as much of a present threat. 


2021 Formula 1: United States Grand Prix Betting Tips

The Formula 1 season will head to the Texas this weekend for the annual United States Grand Prix! As always, Tom Kelly has you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the race here read more

ICC Men's T20 World Cup AUS vs SA Betting Tips

The Aussie campaign in the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup kicks off on Saturday night as they take on South Africa in the opening game of the tournament! Mr.Cricket has a full preview and betting tips for the clash here read more

Horse Racing Tips: Saturday, October 23rd

It is one of the biggest race days of the year this weekend with the Cox Plate being held at Moonee Valley. Meanwhile Randwick will play host to the inaugural Invitational as well as a stack of other high quality races throughout the day. Billy Bestford has cast his eye across the meetings and has found his best bets across the country. read more

2021-22 NBA Betting Tips: Saturday 23rd October

We’ve had a big start to the new NBA season with plenty of winners from the first two slates we’ve covered and will be looking to keep it rolling on the weekend. Catch our best spread bets and player props from the huge Saturday slate right here! read more


WinnersBet Promotions, Promo Code & Exclusive Offers

WinnersBet have a fantastic range of both daily and seasonal promotions available to all customers! Sign up to WinnersBet today and use promo code NEW100 when you join! read more

Best Australian Sports Betting Apps

What are the best Australian sports betting apps? Punters love the convenience of betting on mobile, so we thought we'd look at the best sports betting apps available today, to help you choose the best sports betting site for your iOS or Android mobile device. We highlight our top five Australian sports betting apps based on the usability and features of their app, as well as key mobile app features from all of our partnered sports betting sites. read more

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


2021-22 NBL Fixture

The 2021-22 NBL fixture has been released! The season will open up on Friday, the 3rd of December with a headline clash between the brand new expansion team, the Tasmania JackJumpers taking on the Adelaide 36ers! See the full schedule here read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal: Team Voting

The Brownlow Team Votes markets are one of the first to be released across the major sports betting sites, and there's some early value around for sharp punters. Don't bother paying for Brownlow tip packages when we have all the information you need for free! read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round Voting

We dive into the 2021 Brownlow Medal count with and an overview of round voting throughout the evening to look at the way the count may unfold. We also look at some of the popular betting markets such as who polled in the most games and who will collect the most 3 votes. read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 23

Round 23 was an absolute classic round with several dramatic matches and some amazing results. The main Brownlow focus was Friday night's game where the two Brownlow favourites in Ollie Wines and Marcus Bontempelli went head to head! Check out our Round 23 Brownlow vote predictions here! read more

Join TAB Today